Lorenzo Sonego vs Tommy Paul — Cincinnati Masters Round of 32

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 32
Lorenzo Sonego
ITA
Lorenzo Sonego
#69ATP
1719ELO
1702Hard ELO
$435kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 August 2021
hard
Tommy Paul
USA
Tommy Paul
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Sonego L.
7-6 6-2
Paul T.
Sonego L.
71162
Paul T.
6920

Lorenzo Sonego defeated Tommy Paul 7-6 6-2 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 64. Lorenzo Sonego claimed a first win over Tommy Paul in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayTommy Paul3-6 2-6 4-6
2024-08-26US OpenR128hardTommy Paul6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2
2021-03-01RotterdamR32hardTommy Paul6-4 7-6(7)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sonego L.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Sonego L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sonego L.Paul T.
41
Serve
71
38
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sonego L.Paul T.
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
39%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Even
6.1
6.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sonego L.Paul T.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
69
93
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
45
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
71
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sonego L.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Paul T.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1702
Surface ELO
6.9+180 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1719
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1949
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.2
Surface form
4.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
5.2
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
6.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sonego L.Paul T.
Freshness·Clear edge
72
84

Sonego L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 42 games (7d) · Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 86%
Final
Zverev A.[3]
Rublev A.[4]
6-26-3
Semi-finals
Zverev A.[3]
Tsitsipas S.[2]
6-43-67-64
Rublev A.[4]
Medvedev D.[1]
2-66-36-3
Quarter-finals
Tsitsipas S.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
6-25-76-1
Zverev A.[3]
Ruud C.[8]
6-16-3
Rublev A.[4]
Paire B.
6-23-66-3
Medvedev D.[1]
Carreno Busta P.[7]
6-16-1
R16
Rublev A.[4]
Monfils G.
7-627-65
Carreno Busta P.[7]
Hurkacz H.[9]
7-667-63
Tsitsipas S.[2]
Sonego L.
5-76-36-4
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
Berrettini M.[5]
6-46-3
Zverev A.[3]
Pella G.
6-26-3
Ruud C.[8]
Schwartzman D.[10]
6-46-3
Paire B.
Isner J.
7-616-726-1
Medvedev D.[1]
Dimitrov G.
6-36-3
R32
Tsitsipas S.[2]
Korda S.
7-656-3
Sonego L.
Paul T.
7-696-2
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
Khachanov K.
6-756-36-4
Berrettini M.[5]
Ramos A.
6-756-37-5
Zverev A.[3]
Harris L.
7-636-2
Pella G.
Fognini F.
6-17-5
Schwartzman D.[10]
Tiafoe F.
6-14-66-4
Ruud C.[8]
Opelka R.
6-756-07-64
Paire B.
Shapovalov D.[6]
6-34-67-5
Isner J.
Sinner J.[11]
5-77-646-4
Monfils G.
De Minaur A.[14]
6-37-5
Rublev A.[4]
Cilic M.
5-76-36-1
Carreno Busta P.[7]
Koepfer D.
6-46-2
Hurkacz H.[9]
Murray A.
7-646-3
Dimitrov G.
Bublik A.
6-37-5
Medvedev D.[1]
Mcdonald M.
6-26-2
R64
Bublik A.
Giron M.
3-66-37-65
Paul T.
Garin C.[16]
4-66-36-4
Opelka R.
Moutet C.
7-634-66-4
Korda S.
Djere L.
6-46-4
Sonego L.
Alcaraz C.
6-37-66
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
Fucsovics M.
7-606-3
Khachanov K.
Anderson K.
6-26-4
Ramos A.
Fritz T.
4-66-46-4
Harris L.
Nishioka Y.
6-36-4
Fognini F.
Basilashvili N.
7-636-3
Pella G.
Goffin D.[15]
6-36-3
Schwartzman D.[10]
Evans D.
6-24-66-3
Tiafoe F.
Humbert U.
7-57-69
Paire B.
Kecmanovic M.
5-76-36-2
Isner J.
Norrie C.
4-67-656-4
Sinner J.[11]
Delbonis F.
6-27-5
De Minaur A.[14]
Krajinovic F.
0-66-46-4
Monfils G.
Lajovic D.
7-606-2
Cilic M.
Karatsev A.
7-56-3
Koepfer D.
Struff J.
7-625-76-3
Murray A.
Gasquet R.
6-46-4
Hurkacz H.[9]
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-16-736-1
Dimitrov G.
Bautista Agut R.[13]
6-36-4
Mcdonald M.
Nakashima B.
7-56-2