Reilly Opelka vs Corentin MoutetCincinnati Masters Round of 64

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#115ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 August 2021
hard
#39ATP
1745ELO
1727Hard ELO
$731kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLL
Opelka R.
7-6 4-6 6-4
Moutet C.
Opelka R.
77462
Moutet C.
63641

Reilly Opelka defeated Corentin Moutet 7-6 4-6 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Corentin Moutet came in ranked #39, leading the head-to-head 2–0, but Reilly Opelka had arrived on a 5-match winning run. Reilly Opelka claimed a first win over Corentin Moutet in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersR64hardCorentin Moutet3-6 7-5 6-1
2019-05-20LyonR32clayCorentin Moutet6-3 2-6 7-6(10)

Serve vs return

This season
Opelka R.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Moutet C.

Moutet C.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Opelka R.Moutet C.
86
Serve
7
0
Return
68

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
79%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
70%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
29%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
71%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
16.9
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (170 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
63
82
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Dominant
1
75
Deciding sets·Even
88
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.8+7 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.2Hard Elo 1727
4.5Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1745
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
6.1
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
0.5
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.7
Country comfort
Surface transition
6.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Moutet C.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 86%