Andrey Rublev vs Gael MonfilsCincinnati Masters Round of 16

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 August 2021
hard
#266ATP
1803ELO
1784Hard ELO
39 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLL
Rublev A.
7-6 7-6
Monfils G.
Rublev A.
77772
Monfils G.
62650

Andrey Rublev defeated Gael Monfils 7-6 7-6 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 64. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersR32clayAndrey Rublev6-4 7-6(2)
2023-08-28US OpenR64hardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-3 3-6 6-1
2018-01-01DohaFhardGael Monfils6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Monfils G.

Monfils G.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Monfils G.
55
Serve
26
52
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.9
8.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 171). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
89
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Even
72
76
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
92
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+65 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1784
5.9Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1803
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
4.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
7.1
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.5
Country comfort
6.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 86%