Dayana Yastremska vs Caty McnallyCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
#74WTA
1792ELO
1733Hard ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 August 2021
hard
#57WTA
1817ELO
1731Hard ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Yastremska D.
7-6 7-6
Mcnally C.
Yastremska D.
77772
Mcnally C.
63610

Dayana Yastremska defeated Caty Mcnally 7-6 7-6 in the Cincinnati round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Caty Mcnally came in ranked #57, defending last year's round of 64.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Yastremska D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Mcnally C.

Mcnally C.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Yastremska D.Mcnally C.
11
Serve
26
25
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.6
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 188). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
77
73
Break points saved·Clear edge
89
73
Break points won·Slight edge
92
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
63
74
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+2 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1731
4.8Overall Elo 1792
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1817
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.8
Surface form
3.4
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
9.1
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
6.2
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
96

Yastremska D.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Mcnally C.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw