Veronika Kudermetova vs Jasmine PaoliniCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
#115WTA
1836ELO
1786Hard ELO
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 August 2021
hard
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Kudermetova V.
6-3 6-2
Paolini J.
Kudermetova V.
662
Paolini J.
320

Veronika Kudermetova defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-3 6-2 in the Cincinnati round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Veronika Kudermetova claimed a first win over Jasmine Paolini in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-13NingboR16hardJasmine Paolini6-2 7-5
2025-08-07CincinnatiSFhardJasmine Paolini6-3 6-7(2) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Kudermetova V.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Kudermetova V.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kudermetova V.Paolini J.
67
Serve
31
24
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.7
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
85
89
Break points saved·Even
85
87
Break points won·Clear edge
85
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
97
Tiebreaks·Even
96
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1786
Surface ELO
6.3+87 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1836
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1905
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.0
Surface form
2.5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
72

Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw