Naomi Osaka vs Coco GauffCincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 32
#13WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 August 2021
hard
#4WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$2.9MYTD
$33MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
Osaka N.
4-6 6-3 6-4
Gauff C.
Osaka N.
4662
Gauff C.
6341

Naomi Osaka defeated Coco Gauff 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the Cincinnati round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Coco Gauff came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 64. Naomi Osaka narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR16hardNaomi Osaka6-3 6-2
2024-09-25BeijingR16hardCoco Gauff3-6 6-4 0-0 RET
2022-08-01San JoseR16hardCoco Gauff6-4 6-4
2020-01-20Australian OpenR32hardCoco Gauff6-3 6-4
2019-08-26US OpenR32hardNaomi Osaka6-3 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Osaka N.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Gauff C.

Gauff C.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Osaka N.Gauff C.
70
Serve
25
60
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
44%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.4
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (139 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
99
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Even
97
100
Deciding sets·Even
99
100
Tiebreaks·Even
95
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1922
Surface ELO
6.7+113 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 2071
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.8
Surface form
6.3
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.1
6.3
Country comfort
5.2
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
65

Osaka N.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Gauff C.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw