Reilly Opelka vs Stefanos TsitsipasCanada Masters Semi-final

Canada Masters · ATP · Semi-final
#115ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 August 2021
hard
#87ATP
1833ELO
1803Hard ELO
$992kYTD
$38MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWW
Opelka R.
6-7 7-6 6-4
Tsitsipas S.
Opelka R.
627762
Tsitsipas S.
776441

Reilly Opelka defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-7 7-6 6-4 in the Canada Masters semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Stefanos Tsitsipas came in ranked #87, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Reilly Opelka claimed a first win over Stefanos Tsitsipas in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-14BarcelonaR32clayStefanos Tsitsipas6-2 6-2
2020-08-24Cincinnati MastersQFhardStefanos Tsitsipas5-6 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Opelka R.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Tsitsipas S.

Tsitsipas S.serving97% hold

wins 78% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Opelka R.Tsitsipas S.
86
Serve
57
0
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
70%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
29%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
71%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
16.9
7.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (170 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
63
90
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
1
77
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1734
Surface ELO
5.9+69 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1833
0.0
H2H
10.0
3.2
Surface form
7.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.4
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Tsitsipas S.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 67%