Rebecca Marino vs Madison Keys — Montreal Round of 64

Montreal · WTA · Round of 64
CAN
Rebecca Marino
#361WTA
1626ELO
1591Hard ELO
35 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 August 2021
hard
Madison Keys
USA16
Madison Keys
#23WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Marino R.
6-3 6-3
Keys M.
Marino R.
662
Keys M.
330

Rebecca Marino defeated Madison Keys 6-3 6-3 in the Montreal round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #23.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Marino R.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Marino R.

Serve advantage — Keys M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Marino R.Keys M.
—
Serve
36
—
Return
29

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Marino R.Keys M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.4
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Marino R.Keys M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
32
94
Break points saved·Clear edge
81
96
Break points won·Dominant
28
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
33
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Marino R.
3.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 114 days (−1.5)
Keys M.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.1Hard Elo 1591
Surface ELO
8.9+329 Hard Elo edge
0.8Overall Elo 1626
ELO gap
9.2Overall Elo 1987
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
3.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Marino R.Keys M.
Freshness·
—
84

Keys M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw

Final
Giorgi C.
Pliskova K.[4]
6-37-5
Semi-finals
Giorgi C.
Pegula J.
6-33-66-1
Pliskova K.[4]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-36-4
Quarter-finals
Pegula J.
Jabeur O.[13]
1-67-646-0
Sabalenka A.[1]
Azarenka V.[8]
6-26-4
Pliskova K.[4]
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-46-0
Giorgi C.
Gauff C.[15]
6-47-62
R16
Gauff C.[15]
Konta J.
W/O
Giorgi C.
Kvitova P.[7]
6-46-4
Pegula J.
Collins D.
6-43-67-5
Jabeur O.[13]
Andreescu B.[2]
6-756-46-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Marino R.
6-16-3
Azarenka V.[8]
Sakkari M.[11]
6-43-67-62
Pliskova K.[4]
Anisimova A.
6-17-68
Sorribes Tormo S.
Siniakova K.
6-746-06-3
R32
Sorribes Tormo S.
Samsonova L.
6-46-3
Azarenka V.[8]
Cirstea S.
6-26-2
Gauff C.[15]
Potapova A.
5-0
Andreescu B.[2]
Dart H.
6-13-66-3
Collins D.
Halep S.[6]
2-66-46-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Stephens S.
7-644-66-4
Marino R.
Badosa P.
1-67-56-4
Sakkari M.[11]
Kudermetova V.
6-45-76-4
Pliskova K.[4]
Vekic D.
4-66-37-62
Anisimova A.
Dodin O.
6-36-3
Siniakova K.
Muguruza G.[5]
6-20-66-3
Kvitova P.[7]
Ferro F.
6-46-4
Giorgi C.
Podoroska N.
6-26-4
Konta J.
Svitolina E.[3]
3-66-36-2
Pegula J.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[10]
1-66-36-2
Jabeur O.[13]
Kasatkina D.
2-66-36-4
R64
Sakkari M.[11]
Bouzkova M.
6-43-1
Anisimova A.
Martincova T.
6-14-3
Badosa P.
Golubic V.
6-26-3
Marino R.
Keys M.[16]
6-36-3
Cirstea S.
Riske Amritraj A.
6-36-4
Vekic D.
Van Uytvanck A.
6-16-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.[10]
Garcia C.
6-46-4
Konta J.
Zhang S.
4-65-2
Giorgi C.
Mertens E.[9]
6-37-5
Gauff C.[15]
Sevastova A.
6-16-4
Potapova A.
Rogers S.
7-666-3
Collins D.
Teichmann J.
4-66-16-3
Pegula J.
Kontaveit A.
5-76-36-3
Kasatkina D.
Martic P.
7-56-3
Dodin O.
Muchova K.[14]
6-31-66-2
Samsonova L.
Rybakina E.[12]
6-45-76-4
Ferro F.
Tomljanovic A.
2-66-2
Sorribes Tormo S.
Zhao C.
6-26-3
Siniakova K.
Ostapenko J.
6-16-3
Podoroska N.
Linette M.
6-16-2
Jabeur O.[13]
Burel C.
6-16-3
Dart H.
Fernandez L.
7-57-64
Stephens S.
Yastremska D.
6-41-66-4
Kudermetova V.
Putintseva Y.
1-66-26-4