Jay Clarke vs Sebastian Baez — San Marino CH Round of 32

San Marino CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
GBR
Jay Clarke
#239ATP
1458ELO
1414Clay ELO
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 August 2021
clay
Sebastian Baez
ARG7
Sebastian Baez
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Clarke J.
7-6 5-7 7-5
Baez S.
Clarke J.
77572
Baez S.
64751

Jay Clarke defeated Sebastian Baez 7-6 5-7 7-5 in the San Marino CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #56.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Clarke J.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Clarke J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Clarke J.Baez S.
—
Serve
7
—
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Clarke J.Baez S.
1st serve in·Clear edge
57%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clarke J.Baez S.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
8
87
Break points saved·Dominant
63
96
Break points won·Dominant
21
86
Deciding sets·Dominant
10
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
4
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Clarke J.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Baez S.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
1.1Clay Elo 1414
Surface ELO
8.9+303 Clay Elo edge
1.1Overall Elo 1458
ELO gap
8.9Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.1
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Clarke J.Baez S.
Freshness·
—
100

Baez S.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Rune H.
Luz O.
1-66-26-3
Semi-finals
Luz O.
Dellien H.[4]
6-46-2
Rune H.
Cecchinato M.[1]
7-57-64
Quarter-finals
Rune H.
Menezes J.
6-07-5
Luz O.
Janvier M.
7-677-5
Dellien H.[4]
Meligeni Alves F.
6-36-2
Cecchinato M.[1]
Kotov P.
7-656-3
R16
Janvier M.
Simon G.[2]
7-56-1
Luz O.
Rola B.[8]
4-66-46-2
Dellien H.[4]
Copil M.
4-67-56-4
Rune H.
Caruso S.[3]
2-67-646-2
Kotov P.
Marcora R.
6-46-4
Meligeni Alves F.
Clarke J.
W/O
Menezes J.
Forti F.
6-727-627-69
Cecchinato M.[1]
Nardi L.
7-647-66
R32
Marcora R.
Pellegrino A.
7-667-61
Simon G.[2]
De Rossi M.
6-36-3
Janvier M.
Ocleppo J.
6-26-3
Dellien H.[4]
Mazza M.
6-47-5
Copil M.
Olivo R.
7-646-4
Meligeni Alves F.
Gojo B.
7-56-2
Clarke J.
Baez S.[7]
7-645-77-5
Forti F.
Moroni G.
4-66-37-5
Menezes J.
Elias G.
5-76-46-4
Rune H.
Cagnina J.
6-36-4
Caruso S.[3]
Halys Q.
3-66-26-2
Nardi L.
Brancaccio R.
6-46-4
Cecchinato M.[1]
Lorenzi P.
7-636-2
Rola B.[8]
Kolar Z.
6-36-3
Luz O.
Jaziri M.
6-34-2
Kotov P.
Gaio F.[5]
7-627-63