Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Kei NishikoriWashington Semi-final

Washington · ATP · Semi-final
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 August 2021
hard
#720ATP
1714ELO
1680Hard ELO
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
Mcdonald M.
6-4 3-6 7-5
Nishikori K.
Mcdonald M.
6372
Nishikori K.
4651

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Kei Nishikori 6-4 3-6 7-5 in the Washington semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #145. Mackenzie Mcdonald extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-10Delray BeachR32hardMackenzie Mcdonald7-6(4) 4-6 7-5
2021-08-30US OpenR64hardKei Nishikori7-6(3) 6-3 6-7(5) 2-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Mcdonald M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Nishikori K.

Nishikori K.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mcdonald M.Nishikori K.
25
Serve
10
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
2.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 116). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
89
Break points saved·Even
96
97
Break points won·Slight edge
66
74
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
100
Tiebreaks·Dominant
44
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1604
Surface ELO
5.7+76 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1714
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
7.0
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.5
Country comfort
6.3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Mcdonald M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 49%