Jason Kubler vs Alejandro Tabilo — Lexington CH Final

Lexington CH · CHALLENGER · Final
AUS
Jason Kubler
#468ATP
1685ELO
1635Hard ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 26 July 2021
hard
Alejandro Tabilo
CHI6
Alejandro Tabilo
#31ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
Kubler J.
7-5 6-7 7-5
Tabilo A.
Kubler J.
76272
Tabilo A.
57751

Jason Kubler defeated Alejandro Tabilo 7-5 6-7 7-5 in the Lexington CH final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Tabilo came in ranked #31.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kubler J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Tabilo A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Kubler J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kubler J.Tabilo A.
—
Serve
51
—
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Kubler J.Tabilo A.
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.7
6.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (172 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kubler J.Tabilo A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
59
74
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
97
Break points won·Clear edge
46
59
Deciding sets·Clear edge
79
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
37
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kubler J.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Tabilo A.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1635
Surface ELO
6.6+115 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1685
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1819
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.4
Surface form
2.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
1.4
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kubler J.Tabilo A.
Freshness·
—
98

Tabilo A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Kubler J.
Tabilo A.[6]
7-56-727-5
Semi-finals
Kubler J.
Escobedo E.[7]
6-26-3
Tabilo A.[6]
Kokkinakis T.[8]
7-636-776-3
Quarter-finals
Kubler J.
Olivieri G.
4-66-37-5
Escobedo E.[7]
King D.
7-56-0
Tabilo A.[6]
Ramanathan R.
7-646-4
Kokkinakis T.[8]
Brooksby J.[1]
6-42-66-4
R16
Olivieri G.
Mukund S.
6-36-3
King D.
Cressy M.[3]
4-67-626-2
Escobedo E.[7]
Cid R.
6-47-61
Tabilo A.[6]
Kozlov S.
6-26-2
Ramanathan R.
Polansky P.
6-46-4
Kokkinakis T.[8]
Ficovich J.
6-14-66-3
Kubler J.
Mchugh A.
6-46-4
Brooksby J.[1]
Blanch U.
6-766-5
R32
Ficovich J.
Leshem E.
6-16-2
Olivieri G.
Krueger M.
6-46-4
Mukund S.
Schnur B.
6-36-4
Mchugh A.
Mejia N.
7-634-66-1
Kubler J.
Gomez E.[5]
6-13-67-66
Cressy M.[3]
Ito T.
4-66-36-4
King D.
Quiroz R.
6-46-1
Escobedo E.[7]
Nanda G.
6-16-4
Tabilo A.[6]
Dostanic S.
6-26-0
Ramanathan R.
Wu T.
6-46-0
Polansky P.
Gunneswaran P.[4]
6-36-4
Kokkinakis T.[8]
Harrison C.
7-55-76-2
Blanch U.
Sekiguchi S.
6-36-4
Brooksby J.[1]
Draxl L.
6-36-3
Cid R.
Torpegaard M.
3-66-46-2
Kozlov S.
Eubanks C.
7-637-66