Kei Nishikori vs Andrey Rublev — Tokyo Olympics Round of 64

Tokyo Olympics · ATP · Round of 64
JPN
Kei Nishikori
#720ATP
1714ELO
1680Hard ELO
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 24 July 2021
hard
Andrey Rublev
RUS5
Andrey Rublev
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Nishikori K.
6-3 6-4
Rublev A.
Nishikori K.
662
Rublev A.
340

Kei Nishikori defeated Andrey Rublev 6-3 6-4 in the Tokyo Olympics round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13. Kei Nishikori extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Kei Nishikori closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-08-13Cincinnati MastersR64hardKei Nishikori7-5 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Nishikori K.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Nishikori K.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nishikori K.Rublev A.
—
Serve
55
—
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Nishikori K.Rublev A.
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.4
7.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (117 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Nishikori K.Rublev A.
Clutch Rating·Even
89
88
Break points saved·Even
97
100
Break points won·Even
74
72
Deciding sets·Even
100
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nishikori K.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Rublev A.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1680
Surface ELO
7.0+168 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1714
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1902
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.1
Surface form
7.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Nishikori K.Rublev A.
Freshness·
—
94

Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw

Bronze
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Djokovic N.[1]
6-46-766-3
Final
Zverev A.[4]
Khachanov K.[12]
6-36-1
Semi-finals
Khachanov K.[12]
Carreno Busta P.[6]
6-36-3
Zverev A.[4]
Djokovic N.[1]
1-66-36-1
Quarter-finals
Khachanov K.[12]
Humbert U.[14]
7-644-66-3
Zverev A.[4]
Chardy J.
6-46-1
Djokovic N.[1]
Nishikori K.
6-26-0
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Medvedev D.[2]
6-27-65
R16
Khachanov K.[12]
Schwartzman D.[8]
6-12-66-1
Chardy J.
Broady L.
7-634-66-1
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Koepfer D.
7-676-3
Zverev A.[4]
Basilashvili N.
6-47-65
Humbert U.[14]
Tsitsipas S.[3]
2-67-646-2
Medvedev D.[2]
Fognini F.[15]
6-23-66-2
Djokovic N.[1]
Davidovich Fokina A.[16]
6-36-1
Nishikori K.
Ivashka I.
7-676-0
R32
Davidovich Fokina A.[16]
Millman J.
6-46-746-3
Schwartzman D.[8]
Machac T.
6-47-5
Broady L.
Hurkacz H.[7]
7-53-66-3
Nishikori K.
Giron M.
7-653-66-1
Koepfer D.
Purcell M.
6-36-0
Ivashka I.
Kukushkin M.
6-746-36-3
Fognini F.[15]
Gerasimov E.
6-47-64
Humbert U.[14]
Kecmanovic M.
4-67-657-5
Basilashvili N.
Sonego L.[13]
6-43-66-4
Khachanov K.[12]
Duckworth J.
7-56-1
Chardy J.
Karatsev A.[11]
7-54-66-3
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Cilic M.
5-76-46-4
Zverev A.[4]
Galan D.
6-26-2
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Tiafoe F.
6-36-4
Medvedev D.[2]
Nagal S.
6-26-1
Djokovic N.[1]
Struff J.
6-46-3
R64
Broady L.
Cerundolo F.
7-56-746-2
Medvedev D.[2]
Bublik A.
6-47-68
Djokovic N.[1]
Dellien H.
6-26-2
Millman J.
Musetti L.
6-36-4
Tiafoe F.
Kwon S.
6-36-2
Struff J.
Monteiro T.
6-36-4
Nagal S.
Istomin D.
6-46-766-4
Gerasimov E.
Simon G.
4-66-36-4
Machac T.
Sousa J.
6-756-46-4
Kukushkin M.
Coria F.
7-647-5
Galan D.
Safwat M.
7-56-1
Koepfer D.
Bagnis F.
3-66-37-5
Kecmanovic M.
Majchrzak K.
6-46-2
Duckworth J.
Klein L.
5-76-37-64
Chardy J.
Barrios Vera T.
6-17-64
Basilashvili N.
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-2
Fognini F.[15]
Sugita Y.
6-46-3
Humbert U.[14]
Andujar P.
7-636-1
Sonego L.[13]
Daniel T.
4-67-667-63
Khachanov K.[12]
Nishioka Y.
3-66-16-2
Karatsev A.[11]
Paul T.
6-36-2
Ivashka I.
Monfils G.[10]
6-44-67-5
Purcell M.
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
6-47-62
Schwartzman D.[8]
Varillas J.
7-56-4
Hurkacz H.[7]
Saville L.
6-26-4
Nishikori K.
Rublev A.[5]
6-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Kohlschreiber P.
6-33-66-3
Giron M.
Gombos N.
7-643-66-2
Cilic M.
Menezes J.
6-757-57-67
Zverev A.[4]
Lu Y.
6-16-3
Davidovich Fokina A.[16]
Sousa P.
6-36-0
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Sandgren T.
7-56-2