Aryna Sabalenka vs Magda LinetteTokyo Olympics Round of 64

Tokyo Olympics · WTA · Round of 64
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 24 July 2021
hard
#59WTA
1831ELO
1780Hard ELO
$732kYTD
$8.8MCAREER
34 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLW
Sabalenka A.
6-2 6-1
Linette M.
Sabalenka A.
662
Linette M.
210

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Magda Linette 6-2 6-1 in the Tokyo Olympics round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-22MadridR64clayAryna Sabalenka6-4 3-6 6-3
2023-01-16Australian OpenSFhardAryna Sabalenka7-6(1) 6-2
2018-10-08TianjinR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Linette M.

Linette M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Linette M.
96
Serve
26
39
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
79
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
86
Break points won·Dominant
100
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
89
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
10.0+422 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1780
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1831
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.1
Surface form
4.4
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
98

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Linette M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw