Karen Khachanov vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Tokyo Olympics Semi-final

Tokyo Olympics · ATP · Semi-final
Karen Khachanov
RUS12
Karen Khachanov
#22ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 24 July 2021
hard
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP6
Pablo Carreno Busta
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Khachanov K.
6-3 6-3
Carreno Busta P.
Khachanov K.
662
Carreno Busta P.
330

Karen Khachanov defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-3 6-3 in the Tokyo Olympics semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Karen Khachanov came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 5–3. Karen Khachanov extended the head-to-head to 6–3.

Key context

Head to head

5–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-08-29US OpenR16hardKaren Khachanov4-6 6-3 6-1 4-6 6-3
2022-05-09Rome MastersR32clayKaren Khachanov6-4 2-6 6-1
2021-10-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardKaren Khachanov6-0 6-4
2021-04-12Monte Carlo MastersR32clayPablo Carreno Busta6-2 6-3
2020-08-24Cincinnati MastersR32hardKaren Khachanov7-6(8) 6-1
2018-08-06Canada MastersR32hardKaren Khachanov6-4 7-6(3)
2017-08-07Canada MastersR64hardPablo Carreno Busta3-6 6-3 6-2
2017-04-17Monte Carlo MastersR32clayPablo Carreno Busta6-4 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Khachanov K.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Khachanov K.Carreno Busta P.
61
Serve
21
39
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Khachanov K.Carreno Busta P.
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.5
3.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Khachanov K.Carreno Busta P.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
86
78
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Clear edge
81
61
Deciding sets·Even
83
80
Tiebreaks·Even
92
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Khachanov K.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Carreno Busta P.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+39 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1744
5.9Overall Elo 1828
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1801
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.0
Surface form
5.7
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.1
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Khachanov K.Carreno Busta P.
Freshness·Slight edge
80
90

Khachanov K.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw

Bronze
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Djokovic N.[1]
6-46-766-3
Final
Zverev A.[4]
Khachanov K.[12]
6-36-1
Semi-finals
Khachanov K.[12]
Carreno Busta P.[6]
6-36-3
Zverev A.[4]
Djokovic N.[1]
1-66-36-1
Quarter-finals
Khachanov K.[12]
Humbert U.[14]
7-644-66-3
Zverev A.[4]
Chardy J.
6-46-1
Djokovic N.[1]
Nishikori K.
6-26-0
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Medvedev D.[2]
6-27-65
R16
Khachanov K.[12]
Schwartzman D.[8]
6-12-66-1
Chardy J.
Broady L.
7-634-66-1
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Koepfer D.
7-676-3
Zverev A.[4]
Basilashvili N.
6-47-65
Humbert U.[14]
Tsitsipas S.[3]
2-67-646-2
Medvedev D.[2]
Fognini F.[15]
6-23-66-2
Djokovic N.[1]
Davidovich Fokina A.[16]
6-36-1
Nishikori K.
Ivashka I.
7-676-0
R32
Davidovich Fokina A.[16]
Millman J.
6-46-746-3
Schwartzman D.[8]
Machac T.
6-47-5
Broady L.
Hurkacz H.[7]
7-53-66-3
Nishikori K.
Giron M.
7-653-66-1
Koepfer D.
Purcell M.
6-36-0
Ivashka I.
Kukushkin M.
6-746-36-3
Fognini F.[15]
Gerasimov E.
6-47-64
Humbert U.[14]
Kecmanovic M.
4-67-657-5
Basilashvili N.
Sonego L.[13]
6-43-66-4
Khachanov K.[12]
Duckworth J.
7-56-1
Chardy J.
Karatsev A.[11]
7-54-66-3
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Cilic M.
5-76-46-4
Zverev A.[4]
Galan D.
6-26-2
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Tiafoe F.
6-36-4
Medvedev D.[2]
Nagal S.
6-26-1
Djokovic N.[1]
Struff J.
6-46-3
R64
Broady L.
Cerundolo F.
7-56-746-2
Medvedev D.[2]
Bublik A.
6-47-68
Djokovic N.[1]
Dellien H.
6-26-2
Millman J.
Musetti L.
6-36-4
Tiafoe F.
Kwon S.
6-36-2
Struff J.
Monteiro T.
6-36-4
Nagal S.
Istomin D.
6-46-766-4
Gerasimov E.
Simon G.
4-66-36-4
Machac T.
Sousa J.
6-756-46-4
Kukushkin M.
Coria F.
7-647-5
Galan D.
Safwat M.
7-56-1
Koepfer D.
Bagnis F.
3-66-37-5
Kecmanovic M.
Majchrzak K.
6-46-2
Duckworth J.
Klein L.
5-76-37-64
Chardy J.
Barrios Vera T.
6-17-64
Basilashvili N.
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-2
Fognini F.[15]
Sugita Y.
6-46-3
Humbert U.[14]
Andujar P.
7-636-1
Sonego L.[13]
Daniel T.
4-67-667-63
Khachanov K.[12]
Nishioka Y.
3-66-16-2
Karatsev A.[11]
Paul T.
6-36-2
Ivashka I.
Monfils G.[10]
6-44-67-5
Purcell M.
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
6-47-62
Schwartzman D.[8]
Varillas J.
7-56-4
Hurkacz H.[7]
Saville L.
6-26-4
Nishikori K.
Rublev A.[5]
6-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Kohlschreiber P.
6-33-66-3
Giron M.
Gombos N.
7-643-66-2
Cilic M.
Menezes J.
6-757-57-67
Zverev A.[4]
Lu Y.
6-16-3
Davidovich Fokina A.[16]
Sousa P.
6-36-0
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Sandgren T.
7-56-2