Paula Badosa vs Iga Swiatek — Tokyo Olympics Round of 32

Tokyo Olympics · WTA · Round of 32
Paula Badosa
ESP
Paula Badosa
#141WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 24 July 2021
hard
Iga Swiatek
POL6
Iga Swiatek
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Badosa P.
6-3 7-6
Swiatek I.
Badosa P.
6772
Swiatek I.
3640

Paula Badosa defeated Iga Swiatek 6-3 7-6 in the Tokyo Olympics round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Paula Badosa claimed a first win over Iga Swiatek in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Paula Badosa closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

0–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-13BJK Cup FinalsR16hardIga Swiatek6-3 6-7(5) 6-1
2021-11-10Guadalajara FinalsRRhardIga Swiatek7-5 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Badosa P.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Badosa P.Swiatek I.
21
Serve
67
19
Return
98

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Badosa P.Swiatek I.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Badosa P.Swiatek I.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
100
Break points saved·Even
95
98
Break points won·Slight edge
94
100
Deciding sets·Even
95
99
Tiebreaks·Even
94
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Badosa P.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Swiatek I.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
1.5Hard Elo 1748
Surface ELO
8.5+274 Hard Elo edge
1.3Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
8.7Overall Elo 2064
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
7.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Badosa P.Swiatek I.
Freshness·Dominant
58
91

Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d) · Swiatek I.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw

Final
Bencic B.[9]
Vondrousova M.
7-52-66-3
Bronze
Svitolina E.[4]
Rybakina E.[15]
1-67-656-4
Semi-finals
Bencic B.[9]
Rybakina E.[15]
7-624-66-3
Vondrousova M.
Svitolina E.[4]
6-36-1
Quarter-finals
Svitolina E.[4]
Giorgi C.
6-46-4
Vondrousova M.
Badosa P.
6-30-0
Bencic B.[9]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[13]
6-03-66-3
Rybakina E.[15]
Muguruza G.[7]
7-56-1
R16
Svitolina E.[4]
Sakkari M.[14]
5-76-36-4
Muguruza G.[7]
Van Uytvanck A.
6-46-1
Vondrousova M.
Osaka N.[2]
6-16-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.[13]
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-16-3
Bencic B.[9]
Krejcikova B.[8]
1-66-26-3
Rybakina E.[15]
Vekic D.
7-636-4
Giorgi C.
Pliskova K.[5]
6-46-2
Badosa P.
Podoroska N.
6-26-3
R32
Vekic D.
Sabalenka A.[3]
6-43-67-63
Badosa P.
Swiatek I.[6]
6-37-64
Sorribes Tormo S.
Ferro F.
6-16-4
Osaka N.[2]
Golubic V.
6-36-2
Pliskova K.[5]
Suarez Navarro C.
6-36-706-1
Muguruza G.[7]
Wang Q.
6-36-0
Bencic B.[9]
Doi M.
6-26-4
Podoroska N.
Alexandrova E.
6-16-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.[13]
Friedsam A.
6-16-1
Krejcikova B.[8]
Fernandez L.
6-26-4
Rybakina E.[15]
Peterson R.
6-26-3
Van Uytvanck A.
Kvitova P.[10]
5-76-36-0
Giorgi C.
Vesnina E.
6-36-1
Sakkari M.[14]
Stojanovic N.
6-16-2
Svitolina E.[4]
Tomljanovic A.
4-66-36-4
Vondrousova M.
Buzarnescu M.
6-16-2
R64
Sorribes Tormo S.
Barty A.[1]
6-46-3
Pliskova K.[5]
Cornet A.
6-16-3
Suarez Navarro C.
Jabeur O.
6-46-1
Rybakina E.[15]
Stosur S.
6-46-2
Krejcikova B.[8]
Diyas Z.
5-2
Ferro F.
Sevastova A.
2-66-46-2
Svitolina E.[4]
Siegemund L.
6-35-76-4
Podoroska N.
Putintseva Y.
7-641-3
Tomljanovic A.
Shvedova Y.
7-53-2
Osaka N.[2]
Zheng S.
6-16-4
Van Uytvanck A.
Jorovic I.
6-36-2
Vekic D.
Garcia C.
6-26-726-3
Vondrousova M.
Bertens K.[16]
6-43-66-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.[13]
Errani S.
6-06-1
Alexandrova E.
Mertens E.[12]
4-66-46-4
Kvitova P.[10]
Paolini J.
6-46-3
Bencic B.[9]
Pegula J.
6-36-3
Badosa P.
Mladenovic K.
6-746-36-0
Wang Q.
Cepede Royg V.
6-46-3
Friedsam A.
Watson H.
7-656-3
Doi M.
Zarazua R.
6-36-2
Fernandez L.
Yastremska D.
6-33-66-0
Sabalenka A.[3]
Linette M.
6-26-1
Peterson R.
Sherif M.
7-57-61
Muguruza G.[7]
Kudermetova V.
7-57-5
Giorgi C.
Brady J.[11]
6-36-2
Sakkari M.[14]
Kontaveit A.
7-56-2
Stojanovic N.
Hibino N.
6-36-3
Swiatek I.[6]
Barthel M.
6-26-2
Buzarnescu M.
Riske Amritraj A.
6-707-56-4
Golubic V.
Osorio C.
6-46-1
Vesnina E.
Ostapenko J.
6-46-726-4