Pavel Kotov vs Jesper De Jong — Nur-Sultan 4 CH Round of 16

Nur-Sultan 4 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Pavel Kotov
RUS
Pavel Kotov
#246ATP
1597ELO
1601Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 July 2021
hard
Jesper De Jong
NED6
Jesper De Jong
#73ATP
1711ELO
1607Hard ELO
$612kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWWWL
Kotov P.
6-3 7-6
De Jong J.
Kotov P.
6772
De Jong J.
3630

Pavel Kotov defeated Jesper De Jong 6-3 7-6 in the Nur-Sultan 4 CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jesper De Jong came in ranked #73.

Key context

  • Match story: Pavel Kotov closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kotov P.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs De Jong J.

De Jong J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Serve advantage — De Jong J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kotov P.De Jong J.
—
Serve
23
—
Return
17

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Kotov P.De Jong J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.4
5.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kotov P.De Jong J.
Clutch Rating·Even
59
57
Break points saved·Even
94
90
Break points won·Clear edge
13
37
Deciding sets·Clear edge
82
69
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
62

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kotov P.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
De Jong J.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7Hard Elo 1601
Surface ELO
4.3+6 Hard Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1711
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
2.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
6.4
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kotov P.De Jong J.
Freshness·
—
78

De Jong J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Final
Kuznetsov A.
Kubler J.
6-32-1
Semi-finals
Kubler J.
Krutykh O.
6-16-3
Kuznetsov A.
Kotov P.
6-26-746-4
Quarter-finals
Kubler J.
Grenier H.[4]
7-646-1
Kuznetsov A.
Polansky P.[5]
6-23-66-2
Kotov P.
Peniston R.
6-46-2
Krutykh O.
Chappell N.
3-66-37-5
R16
Kubler J.
Tseng C.[7]
0-66-37-5
Chappell N.
Stakhovsky S.[2]
7-646-4
Krutykh O.
Basic M.
4-67-56-2
Polansky P.[5]
Jaziri M.
3-67-57-64
Kuznetsov A.
Zhukayev B.
6-27-5
Peniston R.
Hsu Y.
6-36-4
Kotov P.
De Jong J.[6]
6-37-63
Grenier H.[4]
Nedelko I.
6-5
R32
Stakhovsky S.[2]
Lock B.
6-33-67-5
Basic M.
Santillan A.
6-26-2
Krutykh O.
Wu T.[8]
6-26-2
Grenier H.[4]
Chung Y.
6-756-36-1
Kubler J.
Sultanov K.
6-37-5
Tseng C.[7]
Denolly C.
6-46-4
Jaziri M.
Zakharov A.
6-06-2
Zhukayev B.
Catarina L.
6-26-4
De Jong J.[6]
Yevseyev D.
4-66-06-3
Kotov P.
Leshem E.
3-66-16-4
Peniston R.
Kirkin E.
6-26-3
Chappell N.
Lomakin G.
6-37-63
Polansky P.[5]
Dubrivnyy A.
7-57-65
Nedelko I.
Tashbulatov D.
6-36-2
Kuznetsov A.
Clarke J.[3]
7-666-4
Hsu Y.
Bega A.
6-31-66-3