Federico Coria vs Francisco CerundoloBastad Round of 32

Bastad · ATP · Round of 32
#783ATP
1537ELO
1515Clay ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 July 2021
clay
#22ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Coria F.
6-4 6-4
Cerundolo F.
Coria F.
662
Cerundolo F.
440

Federico Coria defeated Francisco Cerundolo 6-4 6-4 in the Bastad round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 3–2, but Federico Coria had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Federico Coria narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Federico Coria edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-15BucharestR16clayFrancisco Cerundolo7-5 6-1
2023-07-17BastadQFclayFrancisco Cerundolo6-3 6-3
2023-02-06CordobaQFclayFederico Coria6-3 3-0 RET
2021-03-01Buenos AiresR32clayFrancisco Cerundolo6-4 7-5
2021-02-22CordobaR16clayFederico Coria1-6 6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Coria F.serving61% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Coria F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Coria F.Cerundolo F.
Serve
23
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
58%
62%
Return points won·Even
43%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
3.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
67
88
Break points saved·Dominant
71
98
Break points won·Clear edge
72
86
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.9Clay Elo 1515
Surface ELO
9.1+353 Clay Elo edge
0.7Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
9.3Overall Elo 1931
4.6
H2H
5.4
7.9
Surface form
2.0
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
2.3
Minutes 14d
6.8
0.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
98

Coria F.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d) · Cerundolo F.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 66%