Casper Ruud vs Roberto Carballes BaenaBastad Semi-final

Bastad · ATP · Semi-final
#13ATP
1983ELO
1973Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 July 2021
clay
#165ATP
1632ELO
1612Clay ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
Ruud C.
6-1 6-4
Carballes Baena R.
Ruud C.
662
Carballes Baena R.
140

Casper Ruud defeated Roberto Carballes Baena 6-1 6-4 in the Bastad semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Casper Ruud extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-02-07Buenos AiresR16clayCasper Ruud7-6(2) 6-3
2021-10-04Indian Wells MastersR64hardCasper Ruud6-1 6-2
2020-02-10Buenos AiresR16clayCasper Ruud6-1 6-0
2017-02-20Rio de JaneiroR16clayCasper Ruud6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Ruud C.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Carballes Baena R.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Serve advantage — Ruud C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ruud C.Carballes Baena R.
54
Serve
69
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.7
2.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
61
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
93
Break points won·Clear edge
75
58
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
97
50

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.2+361 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.8Clay Elo 1612
8.9Overall Elo 1983
ELO gap
1.1Overall Elo 1632
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.9
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
7.3
7.0
3-set count
0.0
0.0
Prev. match
6.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
92

Ruud C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Carballes Baena R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 12 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 66%