Ajla Tomljanovic vs Jelena OstapenkoWimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 32
#92WTA
1745ELO
1683Grass ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 June 2021
grass
#29WTA
1855ELO
1770Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Tomljanovic A.
4-6 6-4 6-2
Ostapenko J.
Tomljanovic A.
4662
Ostapenko J.
6421

Ajla Tomljanovic defeated Jelena Ostapenko 4-6 6-4 6-2 in the Wimbledon round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #29, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Ajla Tomljanovic claimed a first win over Jelena Ostapenko in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-01WimbledonR128grassJelena Ostapenko6-1 6-2
2024-01-15Australian OpenR64hardJelena Ostapenko6-0 3-6 6-4
2022-06-20EastbourneR32grassJelena Ostapenko6-4 6-4
2021-05-10RomeR32clayJelena Ostapenko6-2 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Tomljanovic A.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Ostapenko J.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.8
Double faults / match·Even
5.1
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
71
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
73
79
Break points won·Slight edge
92
100
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
78
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Grass Elo 1683
Surface ELO
5.9+87 Grass Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1745
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1855
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
7.8
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
3.5
4.0
3-set count
0.0
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
6.2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
93

Tomljanovic A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Ostapenko J.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
19°CDrizzle
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw

R128
Ahn K.
Watson H.
2-67-638-6
Giorgi C.
Teichmann J.[24]
6-26-2
Zhu L.[30]
Barthel M.
6-726-36-3
Pliskova K.[8]
Zidansek T.[26]
7-56-4
Begu I.
Volynets K.[5]
6-47-5
Siniakova K.[32]
Wang Y.
6-16-0
Petkovic A.
Paolini J.[13]
6-46-3
Kostyuk M.[12]
Bertens K.[17]
6-36-4
Ostapenko J.
Fernandez L.[22]
6-16-2
Cornet A.
Andreescu B.
6-26-1
Linette M.
Anisimova A.[6]
2-66-36-1
Mertens E.[25]
Dart H.
6-16-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Niculescu M.
6-16-4
Krejcikova B.[14]
Tauson C.[24]
6-36-2
Muchova K.[10]
Zhang S.
6-36-3
Raducanu E.[30]
Diatchenko V.
7-646-0
Cirstea S.[17]
Murray S.
6-36-3
Juvan K.
Bencic B.[11]
6-36-3
Gauff C.[7]
Jones F.
7-56-4
Liu C.
Doi M.
2-66-39-7
Rybakina E.[2]
Mladenovic K.
6-46-0
Alexandrova E.[18]
Siegemund L.
6-16-3
Osorio C.
Kalinskaya A.[19]
1-66-06-4
Svitolina E.[8]
Van Uytvanck A.
6-32-66-3
Sasnovich A.[15]
Williams S.[6]
3-3
Podoroska N.
Li A.[28]
6-47-61
Samsonova L.
Kanepi K.
6-46-2
Golubic V.
Kudermetova V.[29]
3-66-111-9
Swiatek I.[3]
Hsieh S.
6-46-4
Zvonareva V.
Bouzkova M.[21]
7-56-4
Pattinama Kerkhove L.
Kuznetsova S.
6-36-3
Burel C.
Perez E.
6-26-2
Barty A.[1]
Suarez Navarro C.
6-16-716-1
Vandeweghe C.
Govortsova O.
6-46-2
Badosa P.[30]
Bolsova A.
6-25-76-2
Pliskova K.
Sharma A.
3-66-46-4
Pegula J.[4]
Garcia C.
6-36-1
Martincova T.
Riske Amritraj A.[28]
6-24-66-1
Blinkova A.
Babos T.
6-26-2
Sevastova A.
Diyas Z.
6-46-1
Kasatkina D.[31]
Tig P.
6-03-66-3
Tomljanovic A.
Minnen G.
6-27-65
Putintseva Y.
Pironkova T.
6-36-1
Pavlyuchenkova A.[16]
Bogdan A.
6-26-2
Vesnina E.
Trevisan M.
7-56-1
Kerber A.[25]
Stojanovic N.
6-46-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Konjuh A.
6-33-66-3
Hibino N.
Pera B.
6-15-76-3
Vekic D.[31]
Potapova A.[27]
6-16-4
Stephens S.
Kvitova P.[10]
6-36-4
Davis L.
Burrage J.
6-26-1
Keys M.[26]
Swan K.
6-36-4
Collins D.
Hercog P.
4-66-36-2
Brengle M.
Mchale C.
3-67-510-8
Kenin S.[4]
Wang X.
6-46-2
Martic P.[26]
Gracheva V.
6-736-46-3
Muguruza G.[11]
Ferro F.
6-06-1
Sakkari M.[15]
Rus A.
6-16-1
Jabeur O.[21]
Peterson R.
6-26-1
Williams V.
Buzarnescu M.
7-54-66-3
Rogers S.
Stosur S.
6-15-76-3
Boulter K.
Lao D.
6-766-36-4
Azarenka V.[12]
Baindl K.
6-16-3
Vondrousova M.
Kontaveit A.[24]
2-66-46-2