Hubert Hurkacz vs Daniil MedvedevWimbledon Round of 16

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 16
#96ATP
1798ELO
1700Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 28 June 2021
grass
#9ATP
1977ELO
1855Grass ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Hurkacz H.
2-6 7-6 3-6 6-3 6-3
Medvedev D.
Hurkacz H.
2773663
Medvedev D.
6626332

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Daniil Medvedev 2-6 7-6 3-6 6-3 6-3 in the Wimbledon round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Hubert Hurkacz narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-15Australian OpenQFhardDaniil Medvedev7-6(4) 2-6 6-3 5-7 6-4
2022-06-13HalleFgrassHubert Hurkacz6-1 6-4
2022-03-21Miami MastersQFhardHubert Hurkacz7-6(7) 6-3
2021-11-15Tour FinalsRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-7(5) 6-3 6-4
2021-08-09Canada MastersQFhardDaniil Medvedev2-6 7-6(6) 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Even
69%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
14.0
7.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
96
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
40
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
99
Tiebreaks·Even
97
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Grass Elo 1700
Surface ELO
6.9+155 Grass Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1977
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.1
Surface form
8.1
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
5.7
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.9
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
85

Hurkacz H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d) · Medvedev D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
19°CDrizzle
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 79%
R128
Anderson K.
Barrios Vera T.[20]
6-746-46-47-64
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Carballes Baena R.
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Bautista Agut R.[8]
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6-23-66-37-64
Berrettini M.[7]
Pella G.
6-43-66-46-0
Van De Zandschulp B.
Barrere G.
6-26-746-17-63
Bedene A.
Moutet C.
6-46-46-0
Nishioka Y.
Isner J.[28]
7-652-66-36-736-4
Chardy J.
Karatsev A.[20]
7-647-666-3
Ivashka I.
Munar J.
6-17-57-65
Nishikori K.
Popyrin A.
6-46-46-4
Ymer M.
Tsonga J.
7-56-745-76-46-3
Mager G.
Londero J.
7-636-04-66-3
Johnson S.
Novak D.
7-676-27-5
Sandgren T.
Gombos N.
6-46-756-16-3
Gasquet R.
Sugita Y.
7-644-66-26-1
Galan D.
Coria F.
6-44-67-57-5
Duckworth J.
Albot R.
6-46-46-1
Querrey S.
Carreno Busta P.[11]
7-666-47-5
Bolt A.
Krajinovic F.
7-656-47-5
Hurkacz H.[14]
Musetti L.
6-47-656-1
Giron M.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-42-66-20-66-4
Sonego L.[23]
Sousa P.
6-27-56-0
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3-66-36-46-4
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7-657-616-1
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6-11-64-66-36-4
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6-36-746-23-66-3