Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jordan ThompsonMallorca Quarter-final

Mallorca · ATP · Quarter-final
#65ATP
1801ELO
1598Grass ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 June 2021
grass
#309ATP
1772ELO
1709Grass ELO
$153kYTD
$9.6MCAREER
32 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
Carreno Busta P.
6-4 6-4
Thompson J.
Carreno Busta P.
662
Thompson J.
440

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Jordan Thompson 6-4 6-4 in the Mallorca quarter-final on grass. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Pablo Carreno Busta extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-15Davis Cup Finals RR: AUS vs ESPRRhardPablo Carreno Busta2-6 6-2 7-6(3)
2021-04-19BarcelonaR32clayPablo Carreno Busta6-4 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Thompson J.

Thompson J.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.6
7.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
70
Break points saved·Even
97
97
Break points won·Dominant
61
24
Deciding sets·Slight edge
80
91
Tiebreaks·Even
95
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Grass Elo 1598
Surface ELO
6.6+111 Grass Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1772
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.4
Surface form
4.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.8
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast