Duje Ajdukovic vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliMilan CH Qualifying Round 2

Milan CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#303ATP
1480ELO
1462Clay ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 June 2021
clay
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Ajdukovic D.
7-6 6-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Ajdukovic D.
7862
Ugo Carabelli C.
6620

Duje Ajdukovic defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 7-6 6-2 in the Milan CH qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ajdukovic D.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Ajdukovic D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ajdukovic D.Ugo Carabelli C.
Serve
24
Return
36

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
2.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
32
78
Break points saved·Dominant
59
90
Break points won·Dominant
32
62
Deciding sets·Dominant
60
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
21
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.4Clay Elo 1462
Surface ELO
8.6+279 Clay Elo edge
1.5Overall Elo 1480
ELO gap
8.5Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
6.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.8
Minutes 14d
5.3
4.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
100

Ajdukovic D.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast