Steven Diez vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliForli CH Round of 16

Forli CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#1565ATP
35 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 June 2021
clay
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Diez S.
6-2 7-6
Ugo Carabelli C.
Diez S.
67112
Ugo Carabelli C.
2690

Steven Diez defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-2 7-6 in the Forli CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58.

Key context

  • Match story: Steven Diez closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Diez S.serving59% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Diez S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Diez S.Ugo Carabelli C.
Serve
24
Return
36

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (184 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
4
78
Break points saved·Dominant
48
90
Break points won·Dominant
31
62
Deciding sets·Dominant
3
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
8
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.1
Surface form
6.0
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.3
Minutes 14d
4.6
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Ugo Carabelli C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast