Matteo Berrettini vs Alex De MinaurQueen's Club Semi-final

Queen's Club · ATP · Semi-final
#43ATP
1831ELO
1739Grass ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 June 2021
grass
#5ATP
1961ELO
1834Grass ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Berrettini M.
6-4 6-4
De Minaur A.
Berrettini M.
662
De Minaur A.
440

Matteo Berrettini defeated Alex De Minaur 6-4 6-4 in the Queen's Club semi-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #5, but Matteo Berrettini had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Matteo Berrettini extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Matteo Berrettini edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20ViennaQFhardAlex De Minaur6-1 7-6(4)
2025-03-19Miami MastersR16hardMatteo Berrettini6-3 7-6(7)
2023-07-03WimbledonR64grassMatteo Berrettini6-3 6-4 6-4
2022-01-03Atp CupRRhardAlex De Minaur6-3 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Berrettini M.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
69%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.6
4.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
81
95
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
53
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
97
Tiebreaks·Even
98
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Grass Elo 1739
Surface ELO
6.1+95 Grass Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1961
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
7.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Minutes 14d
4.1
0.0
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
7.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
80
80

Berrettini M.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · De Minaur A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 47%