Arantxa Rus vs Jessica PegulaStrasbourg Round of 32

Strasbourg · WTA · Round of 32
#183WTA
1511ELO
1500Clay ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 May 2021
clay
#3WTA
2097ELO
1941Clay ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Rus A.
6-4 6-4
Pegula J.
Rus A.
662
Pegula J.
440

Arantxa Rus defeated Jessica Pegula 6-4 6-4 in the Strasbourg round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Arantxa Rus claimed a first win over Jessica Pegula in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Arantxa Rus edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24AustinR32hardJessica Pegula6-3 3-2 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Rus A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Rus A.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rus A.Pegula J.
Serve
67
Return
22

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
61%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
15
96
Break points saved·Dominant
51
96
Break points won·Clear edge
86
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
16
100
Tiebreaks·Dominant
0
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 37 days (−0.7)
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Clay Elo 1500
Surface ELO
10.0+442 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1511
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2097
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
6.1
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.5
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
79

Rus A.: 20 days rest · Pegula J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast