Aslan Karatsev vs Jannik Sinner — Dubai Quarter-final

Dubai · ATP · Quarter-final
RUS
Aslan Karatsev
#1285ATP
32 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 March 2021
hard
Jannik Sinner
ITA16
Jannik Sinner
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
Karatsev A.
6-7 6-3 6-2
Sinner J.
Karatsev A.
65662
Sinner J.
77321

Aslan Karatsev defeated Jannik Sinner 6-7 6-3 6-2 in the Dubai quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Aslan Karatsev claimed a first win over Jannik Sinner in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-05-17LyonR32clayJannik Sinner0-6 6-3 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Karatsev A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Sinner J.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Karatsev A.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Karatsev A.Sinner J.
—
Serve
100
—
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Karatsev A.Sinner J.
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
79%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
58%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
71%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
61%
74%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
7.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Karatsev A.Sinner J.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
43
100
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
100
Break points won·Dominant
39
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
100
Tiebreaks·Dominant
41
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Karatsev A.Sinner J.
Freshness·
—
43

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 109 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 57%
Final
Karatsev A.
Harris L.
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Karatsev A.
Rublev A.[2]
6-24-66-4
Harris L.
Shapovalov D.[3]
6-756-47-66
Quarter-finals
Rublev A.[2]
Fucsovics M.
7-56-2
Karatsev A.
Sinner J.[16]
6-756-36-2
Shapovalov D.[3]
Chardy J.
7-56-4
Harris L.
Nishikori K.
6-13-66-3
R16
Rublev A.[2]
Fritz T.[15]
6-36-1
Fucsovics M.
Lajovic D.[11]
6-14-66-4
Sinner J.[16]
Bautista Agut R.[4]
6-43-67-5
Karatsev A.
Sonego L.[17]
3-66-36-4
Chardy J.
Khachanov K.[8]
6-736-46-4
Shapovalov D.[3]
Hurkacz H.[13]
6-46-3
Nishikori K.
Bedene A.
6-46-4
Harris L.
Krajinovic F.[14]
7-656-4
R32
Bautista Agut R.[4]
Ebden M.
4-1
Sinner J.[16]
Bublik A.
2-67-626-4
Karatsev A.
Evans D.[12]
6-44-66-4
Rublev A.[2]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-46-4
Fritz T.[15]
Basilashvili N.
4-66-37-64
Sonego L.[17]
Zapata Miralles B.
6-26-2
Fucsovics M.
Carreno Busta P.[6]
6-756-36-2
Khachanov K.[8]
Popyrin A.
6-43-67-64
Chardy J.
De Minaur A.[9]
2-66-36-4
Nishikori K.
Goffin D.[5]
6-37-63
Bedene A.
Giustino L.
6-46-3
Krajinovic F.[14]
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-56-4
Lajovic D.[11]
Jaziri M.
7-56-2
Hurkacz H.[13]
Gasquet R.
6-36-4
Shapovalov D.[3]
Struff J.
6-16-3
Harris L.
Thiem D.[1]
6-36-4
R64
Jaziri M.
Tsonga J.
3-3
Ruusuvuori E.
Thompson J.
6-37-65
Fucsovics M.
Pospisil V.
2-67-56-4
Bublik A.
Nishioka Y.
6-47-64
Karatsev A.
Gerasimov E.
6-46-4
Zapata Miralles B.
Millman J.
6-46-4
Popyrin A.
Novak D.
7-637-5
Chardy J.
Ramos A.
6-33-66-4
Gasquet R.
Cecchinato M.
6-46-2
Struff J.
Kukushkin M.
6-36-2
Nishikori K.
Opelka R.
3-66-36-4
Bedene A.
Bhambri Y.
3-66-16-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Albot R.
6-46-4
Harris L.
Oconnell C.
6-756-46-1