Aslan Karatsev vs Andrey RublevDubai Semi-final

Dubai · ATP · Semi-final
#1285ATP
32 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 March 2021
hard
#16ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Karatsev A.
6-2 4-6 6-4
Rublev A.
Karatsev A.
6462
Rublev A.
2641

Aslan Karatsev defeated Andrey Rublev 6-2 4-6 6-4 in the Dubai semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #16, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Aslan Karatsev claimed a first win over Andrey Rublev in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Aslan Karatsev closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-03WimbledonR64grassAndrey Rublev6-7(4) 6-3 6-4 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Karatsev A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Karatsev A.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Karatsev A.Rublev A.
Serve
55
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.8
7.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
43
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
100
Break points won·Dominant
39
72
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
41
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Rublev A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 57%