Anastasia Potapova vs Madison KeysDubai Round of 32

Dubai · WTA · Round of 32
#27WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 7 March 2021
hard
#23WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Potapova A.
6-4 6-3
Keys M.
Potapova A.
662
Keys M.
430

Anastasia Potapova defeated Madison Keys 6-4 6-3 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #23, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Anastasia Potapova claimed a first win over Madison Keys in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian WellsR64hardMadison Keys6-3 6-0
2019-01-14Australian OpenR64hardMadison Keys6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Potapova A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Serve advantage — Keys M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Potapova A.Keys M.
11
Serve
36
52
Return
29

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.2
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.6
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
81
94
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
96
Break points won·Even
88
90
Deciding sets·Even
96
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
57
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
99
84

Potapova A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Keys M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 28 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw