Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Rafael Nadal — Australian Open Quarter-final

Australian Open · ATP · Quarter-final
Stefanos Tsitsipas
GRE5
Stefanos Tsitsipas
#85ATP
1833ELO
1803Hard ELO
$992kYTD
$38MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWW
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 8 February 2021
hard
ESP2
Rafael Nadal
40 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLL
Tsitsipas S.
3-6 2-6 7-6 6-4 7-5
Nadal R.
Tsitsipas S.
3277673
Nadal R.
6664452

Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Rafael Nadal 3-6 2-6 7-6 6-4 7-5 in the Australian Open quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Rafael Nadal came in leading the head-to-head 7–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Stefanos Tsitsipas narrowed the head-to-head to 7–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–7
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-04-19BarcelonaFclayRafael Nadal6-4 6-7(6) 7-5
2020-11-16Tour FinalsRRhardRafael Nadal6-4 4-6 6-2
2019-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardRafael Nadal6-7(4) 6-4 7-5
2019-05-13Rome MastersSFclayRafael Nadal6-3 6-4
2019-05-06Madrid MastersSFclayStefanos Tsitsipas6-4 2-6 6-3
2019-01-14Australian OpenSFhardRafael Nadal6-2 6-4 6-0
2018-08-06Canada MastersFhardRafael Nadal6-2 7-6(4)
2018-04-23BarcelonaFclayRafael Nadal6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Tsitsipas S.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Nadal R.

Nadal R.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Tsitsipas S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tsitsipas S.Nadal R.
58
Serve
—
39
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Tsitsipas S.Nadal R.
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
42%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.1
3.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 99). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Tsitsipas S.Nadal R.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
97
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Clear edge
77
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
100
Tiebreaks·Even
98
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Tsitsipas S.Nadal R.
Freshness·
98
—

Tsitsipas S.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw

Final
Djokovic N.[1]
Medvedev D.[4]
7-56-26-2
Semi-finals
Djokovic N.[1]
Karatsev A.
6-36-46-2
Medvedev D.[4]
Tsitsipas S.[5]
6-46-27-5
Quarter-finals
Djokovic N.[1]
Zverev A.[6]
6-766-26-47-66
Karatsev A.
Dimitrov G.[18]
2-66-46-16-2
Medvedev D.[4]
Rublev A.[7]
7-56-36-2
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Nadal R.[2]
3-62-67-646-47-5
R16
Zverev A.[6]
Lajovic D.[23]
6-47-656-3
Dimitrov G.[18]
Thiem D.[3]
6-46-46-0
Rublev A.[7]
Ruud C.[24]
6-27-630-0
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Berrettini M.[9]
W/O
Djokovic N.[1]
Raonic M.[14]
7-644-66-16-4
Medvedev D.[4]
Mcdonald M.
6-46-26-3
Nadal R.[2]
Fognini F.[16]
6-36-46-2
Karatsev A.
Auger Aliassime F.[20]
3-61-66-36-36-4
R32
Dimitrov G.[18]
Carreno Busta P.[15]
6-01-0
Berrettini M.[9]
Khachanov K.[19]
7-617-657-65
Djokovic N.[1]
Fritz T.[27]
7-616-43-64-66-2
Raonic M.[14]
Fucsovics M.
7-625-76-26-2
Lajovic D.[23]
Martinez P.
6-767-56-16-4
Zverev A.[6]
Mannarino A.[32]
6-36-36-1
Thiem D.[3]
Kyrgios N.
4-64-66-36-46-4
Auger Aliassime F.[20]
Shapovalov D.[11]
7-57-56-3
Karatsev A.
Schwartzman D.[8]
6-36-36-3
Rublev A.[7]
Lopez F.
7-56-26-3
Ruud C.[24]
Albot R.
6-15-76-46-4
Mcdonald M.
Harris L.
7-676-16-4
Medvedev D.[4]
Krajinovic F.[28]
6-36-34-63-66-0
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Ymer M.
6-46-16-1
Fognini F.[16]
De Minaur A.[21]
6-46-36-4
Nadal R.[2]
Norrie C.
7-56-27-5
R64
Lopez F.
Sonego L.[31]
5-73-66-37-56-4
Rublev A.[7]
Monteiro T.
6-46-47-68
Ruud C.[24]
Paul T.
3-66-26-47-5
Albot R.
Oconnell C.
6-27-57-68
Harris L.
Popyrin A.
6-21-66-36-756-3
Mcdonald M.
Coric B.[22]
6-46-24-66-4
Medvedev D.[4]
Carballes Baena R.
6-27-56-1
Krajinovic F.[28]
Andujar P.
6-25-76-16-4
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Kokkinakis T.
6-756-46-16-756-4
Ymer M.
Alcaraz C.
2-66-46-47-65
Khachanov K.[19]
Berankis R.
6-26-46-4
Berrettini M.[9]
Machac T.
6-36-24-66-3
Fognini F.[16]
Caruso S.
4-66-22-66-37-612
De Minaur A.[21]
Cuevas P.
6-36-37-5
Norrie C.
Safiullin R.
3-67-56-37-63
Nadal R.[2]
Mmoh M.
6-16-46-2
Djokovic N.[1]
Tiafoe F.
6-36-737-626-3
Fritz T.[27]
Opelka R.
4-67-666-747-656-2
Fucsovics M.
Wawrinka S.[17]
7-56-14-62-67-69
Raonic M.[14]
Moutet C.
6-716-16-16-4
Martinez P.
Ruusuvuori E.
1-66-36-27-65
Lajovic D.[23]
Bublik A.
6-47-644-66-3
Mannarino A.[32]
Kecmanovic M.
6-16-26-4
Zverev A.[6]
Cressy M.
7-56-46-3
Thiem D.[3]
Koepfer D.
6-46-06-2
Kyrgios N.
Humbert U.[29]
5-76-43-67-626-4
Dimitrov G.[18]
Bolt A.
7-616-16-2
Carreno Busta P.[15]
Vesely J.
6-37-632-66-4
Shapovalov D.[11]
Tomic B.
6-16-36-2
Auger Aliassime F.[20]
Duckworth J.
6-46-16-2
Karatsev A.
Gerasimov E.
6-06-16-0
Schwartzman D.[8]
Muller A.
6-26-06-3
R128
Rublev A.[7]
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-36-4
Andujar P.
Halys Q.
6-47-57-5
Carballes Baena R.
Balazs A.
7-53-66-26-3
Djokovic N.[1]
Chardy J.
6-36-16-2
Tiafoe F.
Travaglia S.
7-656-26-2
Fritz T.[27]
Ramos A.
7-663-66-27-66
Wawrinka S.[17]
Sousa P.
6-36-26-4
Fucsovics M.
Polmans M.
4-66-36-16-736-3
Moutet C.
Millman J.
6-46-743-66-26-3
Vesely J.
Coppejans K.
6-43-66-736-36-3
Tomic B.
Sugita Y.
3-66-14-1
Ruud C.[24]
Thompson J.
6-36-32-1
Machac T.
Vilella Martinez M.
6-757-56-03-0
Medvedev D.[4]
Pospisil V.
6-26-26-4
Cuevas P.
Seppi A.
6-44-66-26-2
Opelka R.
Lu Y.
6-37-626-3
Raonic M.[14]
Coria F.
6-36-36-2
Ruusuvuori E.
Monfils G.[10]
3-66-47-53-66-3
Martinez P.
Nishioka Y.
6-736-16-16-1
Bublik A.
Bedene A.
6-47-55-76-4
Lajovic D.[23]
Stakhovsky S.
5-76-46-35-76-4
Mannarino A.[32]
Novak D.
6-26-47-62
Kecmanovic M.
Majchrzak K.
6-26-46-3
Cressy M.
Daniel T.
7-617-636-4
Zverev A.[6]
Giron M.
6-787-656-36-2
Thiem D.[3]
Kukushkin M.
7-626-26-3
Koepfer D.
Dellien H.
7-56-26-4
Kyrgios N.
Ferreira Silva F.
6-46-46-4
Humbert U.[29]
Uchiyama Y.
6-36-46-736-3
Dimitrov G.[18]
Cilic M.
6-46-27-65
Bolt A.
Gombos N.
6-26-24-66-3
Carreno Busta P.[15]
Nishikori K.
7-57-646-2
Shapovalov D.[11]
Sinner J.
3-66-36-24-66-4
Duckworth J.
Dzumhur D.
6-36-26-4
Auger Aliassime F.[20]
Stebe C.
6-26-46-2
Gerasimov E.
Paire B.[25]
6-22-67-657-5
Karatsev A.
Mager G.
6-36-36-4
Muller A.
Londero J.
4-66-36-06-3
Schwartzman D.[8]
Ymer E.
7-636-42-66-2
Monteiro T.
Martin A.
7-666-16-2
Lopez F.
Tu L.
6-716-47-646-4
Sonego L.[31]
Querrey S.
7-56-46-4
Paul T.
Basilashvili N.
6-47-606-4
Oconnell C.
Struff J.
7-627-656-1
Albot R.
Bautista Agut R.[12]
6-716-06-47-65
Popyrin A.
Goffin D.[13]
3-66-46-747-666-3
Harris L.
Torpegaard M.
4-66-36-26-2
Mcdonald M.
Cecchinato M.
3-66-36-26-2
Coric B.[22]
Pella G.
6-37-657-5
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Simon G.
6-16-26-1
Kokkinakis T.
Kwon S.
6-46-16-1
Alcaraz C.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-16-46-4
De Minaur A.[21]
Sandgren T.
7-56-16-1
Norrie C.
Evans D.[30]
6-44-66-47-5
Safiullin R.
Ivashka I.
6-46-36-4
Mmoh M.
Troicki V.
7-636-733-67-637-5
Nadal R.[2]
Djere L.
6-36-46-1
Caruso S.
Laaksonen H.
6-26-46-3
Krajinovic F.[28]
Haase R.
7-646-34-66-2
Ymer M.
Hurkacz H.[26]
3-66-33-67-56-3
Khachanov K.[19]
Vukic A.
6-36-747-626-4
Berankis R.
Nagal S.
6-27-56-3
Berrettini M.[9]
Anderson K.
7-697-56-3
Fognini F.[16]
Herbert P.
6-46-26-3