Alexander Zverev vs Rafael NadalParis Masters Semi-final

Paris Masters · ATP · Semi-final
#2ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 November 2020
hard
40 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLL
Zverev A.
6-4 7-5
Nadal R.
Zverev A.
672
Nadal R.
450

Alexander Zverev defeated Rafael Nadal 6-4 7-5 in the Paris Masters semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Rafael Nadal came in leading the head-to-head 7–3, defending last year's semi-final. Alexander Zverev narrowed the head-to-head to 7–4.

Key context

Head to head

37
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR128clayAlexander Zverev6-3 7-6(5) 6-3
2022-05-23Roland GarrosSFclayRafael Nadal7-6(8) 6-6 RET
2021-05-10Rome MastersQFclayRafael Nadal6-3 6-4
2021-05-03Madrid MastersQFclayAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4
2019-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardAlexander Zverev6-2 6-4
2018-05-14Rome MastersFclayRafael Nadal6-1 1-6 6-3
2018-04-06Davis Cup WG QF: ESP vs GERRRclayRafael Nadal6-1 6-4 6-4
2017-04-17Monte Carlo MastersR16clayRafael Nadal6-1 6-1
2017-01-16Australian OpenR32hardRafael Nadal4-6 6-3 6-7(5) 6-3 6-2
2016-03-07Indian Wells MastersR16hardRafael Nadal6-7(8) 6-0 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Zverev A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Nadal R.

Nadal R.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zverev A.Nadal R.
71
Serve
42
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
55%
Service points won·Even
69%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
42%
Break points saved·Even
64%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 133). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
94
97
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Slight edge
90
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
100
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
45

Zverev A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 148 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 28 km/hHumidity 79%
Semi-finals
Zverev A.[4]
Nadal R.[1]
6-47-5
Medvedev D.[3]
Raonic M.[10]
6-47-64