Marcos Giron vs Matteo BerrettiniParis Masters Round of 32

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#87ATP
1718ELO
1704Hard ELO
$495kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
32 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 November 2020
hard
#43ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Giron M.
7-6 6-7 7-5
Berrettini M.
Giron M.
776072
Berrettini M.
637751

Marcos Giron defeated Matteo Berrettini 7-6 6-7 7-5 in the Paris Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #43, defending last year's round of 32. Marcos Giron extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR64clayMatteo Berrettini6-7(3) 7-6(6) 6-1
2024-06-17HalleR16grassMarcos Giron3-6 6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Giron M.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Berrettini M.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Giron M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Giron M.Berrettini M.
29
Serve
57
45
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.2
10.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.5
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
62
81
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Slight edge
42
53
Deciding sets·Dominant
56
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
83

Giron M.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Berrettini M.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 28 km/hHumidity 79%