Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Alexander BublikNur-Sultan Round of 32

Nur-Sultan · ATP · Round of 32
#140ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 October 2020
hard
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Mcdonald M.
6-3 6-2
Bublik A.
Mcdonald M.
662
Bublik A.
320

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Alexander Bublik 6-3 6-2 in the Nur-Sultan round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Mackenzie Mcdonald claimed a first win over Alexander Bublik in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-03WimbledonR128grassAlexander Bublik6-7(3) 6-4 6-4 6-4
2020-10-12St PetersburgR32hardAlexander Bublik2-6 7-6(2) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Mcdonald M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mcdonald M.Bublik A.
25
Serve
65
10
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
46%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.7
11.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
88
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Even
66
67
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
44
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
92
78

Mcdonald M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Bublik A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast