Elise Mertens vs Jessica PegulaCincinnati Quarter-final

Cincinnati · WTA · Quarter-final
#24WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2020
hard
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Mertens E.
6-1 6-3
Pegula J.
Mertens E.
662
Pegula J.
130

Elise Mertens defeated Jessica Pegula 6-1 6-3 in the Cincinnati quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, defending last year's round of 64. Elise Mertens extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-06RomeR32clayElise Mertens7-5 6-1
2025-01-13Australian OpenR64hardJessica Pegula6-4 6-2
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR32clayElise Mertens6-1 6-3
2021-03-07DubaiQFhardElise Mertens5-7 7-5 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Mertens E.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mertens E.Pegula J.
51
Serve
68
54
Return
73

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
80
96
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
96
Break points won·Even
96
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
100
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
81
79

Mertens E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Pegula J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw