Dominic Thiem defeated Andy Murray 6-2 7-6 in the Beijing quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andy Murray came in leading the head-to-head 3–1. Dominic Thiem narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-02 | Madrid Masters | R64 | clay | Andy Murray | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2017-04-24 | Barcelona | SF | clay | Dominic Thiem | 6-2 3-6 6-4 |
| 2015-03-25 | Miami Masters | QF | hard | Andy Murray | 3-6 6-4 6-1 |
| 2014-02-10 | Rotterdam | R16 | hard | Andy Murray | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 177). ATP, WTA & Challenger.