
Aryna Sabalenka defeated Ashleigh Barty 7-5 6-4 in the Wuhan semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ashleigh Barty came in leading the head-to-head 4–3, defending last year's semi-final. Aryna Sabalenka narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-04-29 | Madrid | F | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-0 3-6 6-4 |
| 2021-04-19 | Stuttgart | F | clay | Ashleigh Barty | 3-6 6-0 6-3 |
| 2021-03-22 | Miami | QF | hard | Ashleigh Barty | 6-4 6-7(5) 6-3 |
| 2019-04-20 | Fed Cup WG SF: BLR vs AUS | RR | hard | Ashleigh Barty | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2018-10-29 | Zhuhai | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2018-09-24 | Wuhan | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-6(2) 6-4 |
| 2018-01-15 | Australian Open | R128 | hard | Ashleigh Barty | 6-7(2) 6-4 6-4 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 142). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Sabalenka A.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About