Federico Gaio defeated Paolo Lorenzi 6-3 6-1 in the Manerbio CH final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Paolo Lorenzi came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Federico Gaio had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 5 on clay. Federico Gaio claimed a first win over Paolo Lorenzi in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-10-17 | Moscow | R32 | hard | Paolo Lorenzi | 6-4 6-4 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 125). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About