Reilly Opelka vs Pablo Carreno BustaMadrid Masters Round of 64

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#131ATP
1749ELO
1644Clay ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2019
clay
#65ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Opelka R.
7-6 6-4
Carreno Busta P.
Opelka R.
7762
Carreno Busta P.
6540

Reilly Opelka defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 7-6 6-4 in the Madrid Masters round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65, defending last year's round of 64.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Opelka R.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
70%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
28%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
17.5
3.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
63
78
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Dominant
1
61
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
80
Tiebreaks·Even
93
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 18%