Denis Shapovalov vs Andrey RublevMiami Masters Round of 32

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#39ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 March 2019
hard
#16ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Shapovalov D.
6-3 7-6
Rublev A.
Shapovalov D.
6772
Rublev A.
3650

Denis Shapovalov defeated Andrey Rublev 6-3 7-6 in the Miami Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #16, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 64. Denis Shapovalov narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-08-29US OpenR32hardAndrey Rublev6-4 2-6 6-7(3) 6-4 7-6(7)
2020-10-12St PetersburgSFhardAndrey Rublev4-6 6-3 6-4
2019-08-19Winston-SalemQFhardDenis Shapovalov6-3 7-6(4)
2017-11-06NextGen FinalsRRhardAndrey Rublev4-1 3-4(8) 4-3(2) 0-4 4-3(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shapovalov D.Rublev A.
25
Serve
55
70
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Even
8.3
7.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.1
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
85
89
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Even
71
72
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
84
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
95

Shapovalov D.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rublev A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 70%