Liudmila Samsonova vs Jasmine PaoliniSt. Petersburg Qualifying Round 1

St. Petersburg · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#69WTA
1775ELO
1723Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 January 2019
hard
#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Samsonova L.
6-7 6-0 6-1
Paolini J.
Samsonova L.
64662
Paolini J.
77011

Liudmila Samsonova defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-7 6-0 6-1 in the St. Petersburg qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #15. Liudmila Samsonova extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian WellsR16hardLiudmila Samsonova6-0 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenR128hardLiudmila Samsonova6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Samsonova L.serving61% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Samsonova L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Samsonova L.Paolini J.
39
Serve
31
5
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
55%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.9
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
69
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
87
Break points won·Slight edge
94
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
55
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
82

Samsonova L.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Paolini J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast