Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Jelena OstapenkoSt. Petersburg Round of 16

St. Petersburg · WTA · Round of 16
#400WTA
1775ELO
1742Hard ELO
35 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 January 2019
hard
#29WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-4 6-4
Ostapenko J.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
662
Ostapenko J.
440

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova defeated Jelena Ostapenko 6-4 6-4 in the St. Petersburg round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #29, leading the head-to-head 6–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova claimed a first win over Jelena Ostapenko in seven meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

06
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-29LinzSFhardJelena Ostapenko6-2 6-3
2021-06-21EastbourneR32grassJelena Ostapenko6-1 6-3
2019-08-05TorontoR32hardJelena Ostapenko6-2 2-6 6-4
2019-05-06MadridR64clayJelena Ostapenko6-2 6-1
2018-04-21Fed Cup WG2 R1: RUS vs LATRRclayJelena Ostapenko7-5 6-1
2016-06-13BirminghamR32grassJelena Ostapenko7-6(2) 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Pavlyuchenkova A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Ostapenko J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Pavlyuchenkova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pavlyuchenkova A.Ostapenko J.
Serve
10
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
44%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
3.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.5
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
85
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
79
Break points won·Slight edge
91
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
96
Tiebreaks·Even
86
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
93

Ostapenko J.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast