Kei Nishikori vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Australian Open Round of 16

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 16
JPN8
Kei Nishikori
#717ATP
1714ELO
1680Hard ELO
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 14 January 2019
hard
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP23
Pablo Carreno Busta
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Nishikori K.
6-7 4-6 7-6 6-4 7-6
Carreno Busta P.
Nishikori K.
6847767103
Carreno Busta P.
7106644682

Kei Nishikori defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-7 4-6 7-6 6-4 7-6 in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Kei Nishikori claimed a first win over Pablo Carreno Busta in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-02-08Australian OpenR128hardPablo Carreno Busta7-5 7-6(4) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Nishikori K.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Nishikori K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nishikori K.Carreno Busta P.
—
Serve
21
—
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Nishikori K.Carreno Busta P.
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
59%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (161 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Nishikori K.Carreno Busta P.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
78
Break points saved·Even
97
97
Break points won·Clear edge
74
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
80
Tiebreaks·Even
97
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Nishikori K.Carreno Busta P.
Freshness·
—
94

Carreno Busta P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 51%
Final
Djokovic N.[1]
Nadal R.[2]
6-36-26-3
Semi-finals
Nadal R.[2]
Tsitsipas S.[14]
6-26-46-0
Djokovic N.[1]
Pouille L.[28]
6-06-26-2
Quarter-finals
Pouille L.[28]
Raonic M.[16]
7-646-36-726-4
Nadal R.[2]
Tiafoe F.
6-36-46-2
Djokovic N.[1]
Nishikori K.[8]
6-14-1
Tsitsipas S.[14]
Bautista Agut R.[22]
7-54-66-47-62
R16
Tsitsipas S.[14]
Federer R.[3]
6-7117-637-57-65
Bautista Agut R.[22]
Cilic M.[6]
6-766-36-24-66-4
Djokovic N.[1]
Medvedev D.[15]
6-46-756-26-3
Tiafoe F.
Dimitrov G.[20]
7-57-666-717-5
Nishikori K.[8]
Carreno Busta P.[23]
6-784-67-646-47-68
Nadal R.[2]
Berdych T.
6-06-17-64
Raonic M.[16]
Zverev A.[4]
6-16-17-65
Pouille L.[28]
Coric B.[11]
6-746-47-57-62
R32
Tsitsipas S.[14]
Basilashvili N.[19]
6-33-67-676-4
Bautista Agut R.[22]
Khachanov K.[10]
6-47-56-4
Carreno Busta P.[23]
Fognini F.[12]
6-26-42-66-4
Berdych T.
Schwartzman D.[18]
5-76-37-56-4
Medvedev D.[15]
Goffin D.[21]
6-27-636-3
Djokovic N.[1]
Shapovalov D.[25]
6-36-44-66-0
Nadal R.[2]
De Minaur A.[27]
6-16-26-4
Zverev A.[4]
Bolt A.
6-36-36-2
Pouille L.[28]
Popyrin A.
7-636-36-7104-66-3
Federer R.[3]
Fritz T.
6-27-56-2
Nishikori K.[8]
Sousa J.
7-666-16-2
Coric B.[11]
Krajinovic F.
2-66-36-46-3
Raonic M.[16]
Herbert P.
6-46-47-66
Tiafoe F.
Seppi A.
6-736-34-66-46-3
Dimitrov G.[20]
Fabbiano T.
7-656-46-4
Cilic M.[6]
Verdasco F.[26]
4-63-66-17-686-3
R64
Berdych T.
Haase R.
6-16-36-3
Herbert P.
Chung H.[24]
6-21-66-26-4
Sousa J.
Kohlschreiber P.[32]
7-54-67-645-76-4
Federer R.[3]
Evans D.
7-657-636-3
Tsitsipas S.[14]
Troicki V.
6-32-66-27-5
Basilashvili N.[19]
Travaglia S.
3-66-33-66-46-3
De Minaur A.[27]
Laaksonen H.
6-46-26-774-66-3
Djokovic N.[1]
Tsonga J.
6-37-56-4
Nadal R.[2]
Ebden M.
6-36-26-2
Zverev A.[4]
Chardy J.
7-656-45-76-766-1
Cilic M.[6]
Mcdonald M.
7-56-796-46-4
Nishikori K.[8]
Karlovic I.
6-37-665-75-77-67
Khachanov K.[10]
Nishioka Y.
6-36-36-3
Coric B.[11]
Fucsovics M.
6-46-36-4
Schwartzman D.[18]
Kudla D.
6-47-53-66-766-4
Dimitrov G.[20]
Cuevas P.
6-36-756-37-5
Goffin D.[21]
Copil M.
5-77-56-26-4
Bautista Agut R.[22]
Millman J.
6-36-13-66-766-4
Carreno Busta P.[23]
Ivashka I.
6-26-37-67
Shapovalov D.[25]
Daniel T.
6-37-626-3
Pouille L.[28]
Marterer M.
7-687-685-76-4
Krajinovic F.
Donskoy E.
6-47-687-62
Fabbiano T.
Opelka R.
6-7156-26-43-67-65
Tiafoe F.
Anderson K.[5]
4-66-46-47-5
Fritz T.
Monfils G.[30]
6-36-787-667-65
Verdasco F.[26]
Albot R.
6-17-626-3
Popyrin A.
Thiem D.[7]
7-56-42-0
Medvedev D.[15]
Harrison R.
6-36-36-3
Raonic M.[16]
Wawrinka S.
6-747-667-6117-65
Seppi A.
Thompson J.
6-36-46-4
Fognini F.[12]
Mayer L.
7-636-37-65
Bolt A.
Simon G.[29]
2-66-44-67-686-4
R128
Berdych T.
Edmund K.[13]
6-36-07-5
Krajinovic F.
Cecchinato M.[17]
4-60-66-17-686-4
Seppi A.
Johnson S.[31]
6-44-66-46-3
Djokovic N.[1]
Krueger M.
6-36-26-2
Medvedev D.[15]
Harris L.
6-16-26-1
Schwartzman D.[18]
Molleker R.
6-16-34-66-0
Basilashvili N.[19]
Eubanks C.
6-44-67-666-3
Carreno Busta P.[23]
Vanni L.
6-752-66-37-56-4
Simon G.[29]
Fratangelo B.
7-626-46-2
Evans D.
Ito T.
7-56-17-68
Marterer M.
Sakharov G.
6-36-16-3
Tiafoe F.
Gunneswaran P.
7-676-36-3
Nadal R.[2]
Duckworth J.
6-46-37-5
Kohlschreiber P.[32]
Li Z.
6-26-26-4
Bolt A.
Sock J.
4-66-36-26-2
Fabbiano T.
Kubler J.
6-47-612-66-3
Kudla D.
Polmans M.
5-71-66-26-36-2
Federer R.[3]
Istomin D.
6-36-46-4
Zverev A.[4]
Bedene A.
6-46-16-4
Anderson K.[5]
Mannarino A.
6-35-76-26-1
Cilic M.[6]
Tomic B.
6-26-47-63
Thiem D.[7]
Paire B.
6-46-35-71-66-3
Khachanov K.[10]
Gojowczyk P.
3-66-36-46-3
Coric B.[11]
Darcis S.
6-16-46-4
Bautista Agut R.[22]
Murray A.
6-46-46-756-746-2
Chung H.[24]
Klahn B.
6-756-756-36-26-4
Shapovalov D.[25]
Andujar P.
6-26-37-63
Monfils G.[30]
Dzumhur D.
6-06-46-0
Troicki V.
Carballes Baena R.
6-11-62-66-16-4
Travaglia S.
Andreozzi G.
6-736-26-36-2
Laaksonen H.
Basic M.
6-47-644-66-3
Tsonga J.
Klizan M.
6-46-47-65
Copil M.
Granollers M.
6-36-46-4
Harrison R.
Vesely J.
6-07-56-3
Mayer L.
Jarry N.
7-647-634-66-3
Sousa J.
Pella G.
7-624-67-654-66-2
Chardy J.
Humbert U.
3-67-666-46-747-66
Herbert P.
Querrey S.
5-77-666-36-1
Fucsovics M.
Ramos A.
6-36-46-756-3
Donskoy E.
Djere L.
6-756-46-17-65
Mcdonald M.
Rublev A.
6-46-42-66-4
Albot R.
Mmoh M.
3-66-36-46-2
Nishioka Y.
Sandgren T.
6-47-654-66-4
Fritz T.
Norrie C.
6-37-666-2
Thompson J.
Lopez F.
6-17-606-3
Cuevas P.
Lajovic D.
6-47-56-1
Haase R.
Garcia Lopez G.
7-56-47-5
Ebden M.
Struff J.
1-66-46-36-4
Verdasco F.[26]
Kecmanovic M.
7-656-36-3
Pouille L.[28]
Kukushkin M.
6-17-56-4
Millman J.
Delbonis F.
6-33-67-636-2
Opelka R.
Isner J.[9]
7-647-666-747-65
Nishikori K.[8]
Majchrzak K.
3-66-766-06-23-0
Daniel T.
Kokkinakis T.
5-74-2
Fognini F.[12]
Munar J.
7-637-673-1
Tsitsipas S.[14]
Berrettini M.
6-736-46-37-64
Raonic M.[16]
Kyrgios N.
6-47-656-4
Ivashka I.
Jaziri M.
4-67-666-14-0
Karlovic I.
Hurkacz H.
6-757-657-637-65
Wawrinka S.
Gulbis E.
3-63-1
Goffin D.[21]
Garin C.
6-06-26-2
Dimitrov G.[20]
Tipsarevic J.
4-66-36-16-4
De Minaur A.[27]
Sousa P.
6-47-56-4
Popyrin A.
Zverev M.
7-57-676-4