Paula Badosa vs Marta KostyukAustralian Open Qualifying Final

Australian Open · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#115WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 January 2019
hard
#11WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Badosa P.
7-6 6-3
Kostyuk M.
Badosa P.
7862
Kostyuk M.
663

Paula Badosa defeated Marta Kostyuk 7-6 6-3 in the Australian Open qualifying final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marta Kostyuk came in ranked #11. Paula Badosa extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Paula Badosa closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-13Australian OpenR32hardPaula Badosa6-4 4-6 6-3
2023-07-03WimbledonR64grassMarta Kostyuk6-2 1-0 RET
2023-05-08RomeR32clayPaula Badosa6-4 6-2
2022-01-17Australian OpenR32hardPaula Badosa6-2 5-7 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Badosa P.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Kostyuk M.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Badosa P.Kostyuk M.
21
Serve
53
19
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
59%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
3.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.9
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
93
92
Break points saved·Even
95
93
Break points won·Even
94
98
Deciding sets·Even
95
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
68
77

Badosa P.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d) · Kostyuk M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw — qualifying

Q1
Mcphee K.
Von Deichmann K.
6-36-4
Govortsova O.
Soler Espinosa S.
2-66-26-1
Juvan K.
Wickmayer Y.
4-66-47-5
Haddad Maia B.
Davis L.
6-36-3
Brady J.
Thandi K.
6-07-5
Vikhlyantseva N.
Duan Y.
6-756-46-4
Schoofs B.
Liang E.
6-25-76-4
Kovinic D.
Liu F.
6-17-5
Stollar F.
Zhang Y.
4-66-46-4
Cabrera L.
Garcia Perez G.
6-06-2
Bonaventure Y.
Broady N.
6-43-66-3
Wallace I.
Lisicki S.
7-657-5
Hogenkamp R.
Rus A.
6-36-4
Nara K.
Cepede Royg V.
6-27-61
Bains N.
Inglis M.
6-35-77-5
Ponchet J.
Sebov K.
6-16-4
Krejcikova B.
Bouzkova M.
6-44-66-4
Lepchenko V.
Tomova V.
4-66-27-66
Mrdeza T.
Zimmermann K.
6-06-4
Mchale C.
Fourlis J.
6-46-2
Zhuk S.
Fett J.
5-76-26-4
Sharipova S.
Bozovic A.
6-46-0
Trevisan M.
Zarytska A.
6-41-66-2
Kiick A.
Gatto Monticone G.
6-26-2
Zhu L.
Rybakina E.
6-26-4
Dart H.
Paquet C.
6-34-66-2
Xu S.
Serban R.
6-33-66-3
Muhammad A.
Karatantcheva S.
3-66-16-4
Jorovic I.
Han X.
6-26-1
Badosa P.
Allertova D.
6-36-3
Raina A.
Georges M.
6-26-2
Hesse A.
Pattinama Kerkhove L.
1-67-647-68
Kostyuk M.
Cepelova J.
6-37-5
Diatchenko V.
Radanovic D.
6-46-746-2
Kalinskaya A.
Lemoine Q.
6-17-614
Podoroska N.
Zanevska M.
3-66-36-3
Lottner A.
Hibino N.
6-26-4
Wang X.
Liu C.
6-36-2
Sharma A.
Zvonareva V.
6-36-2
Flink V.
Grymalska A.
6-36-1
Martincova T.
Xun F.
6-11-66-3
Zaja A.
Frech M.
6-26-3
Kudermetova V.
Paolini J.
4-66-16-3
Dolehide C.
Marino R.
6-26-2
Lao D.
Lu J.
6-26-2
Rogowska O.
Zavatska K.
6-16-4
Khromacheva I.
Haas B.
6-46-4
Minella M.
Ozgen P.
6-24-66-4
Bolsova A.
Ivakhnenko V.
7-654-67-5
Swiatek I.
Danilovic O.
1-67-647-5
Muchova K.
Rodionova A.
6-26-4
Samsonova L.
Da Silva Fick G.
6-44-66-3
Loeb J.
Myers A.
6-26-4
Kalinina A.
Di Giuseppe M.
6-42-67-65
Smitkova T.
Shimizu A.
7-677-66
Hradecka L.
Gorgodze E.
6-36-3
Grammatikopoulou V.
Bara I.
6-36-2
Gibbs N.
Kostova E.
6-46-2
Ormaechea P.
Han N.
6-36-2
Ahn K.
Taylor G.
6-16-1
Golubic V.
Teichmann J.
6-26-4
Doi M.
Doroshina O.
6-36-3