Anastasija Sevastova vs Naomi OsakaBeijing Semi-final

Beijing · WTA · Semi-final
#293WTA
1719ELO
1664Hard ELO
36 yrs · 169 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 October 2018
hard
#13WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Sevastova A.
6-4 6-4
Osaka N.
Sevastova A.
662
Osaka N.
440

Anastasija Sevastova defeated Naomi Osaka 6-4 6-4 in the Beijing semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's round of 64. Anastasija Sevastova narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27MontrealR16hardNaomi Osaka6-1 6-0
2019-01-14Australian OpenR16hardNaomi Osaka4-6 6-3 6-4
2018-12-31BrisbaneQFhardNaomi Osaka3-6 6-0 6-4
2018-02-12DohaR32hardAnastasija Sevastova6-4 6-1
2017-08-07TorontoR32hardNaomi Osaka6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sevastova A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Osaka N.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Sevastova A.

Serve advantage — Osaka N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sevastova A.Osaka N.
Serve
70
Return
60

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
63%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.3
6.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 196). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
66
91
Break points saved·Clear edge
73
96
Break points won·Slight edge
89
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
74
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
64
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
85

Osaka N.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 32 km/hHumidity 30%

Draw

Semi-finals
Wozniacki C.[2]
Wang Q.
6-16-3
Sevastova A.
Osaka N.[8]
6-46-4