Varvara Lepchenko vs Aryna SabalenkaQuebec City Round of 32

Quebec City · WTA · Round of 32
#172WTA
1578ELO
1559Hard ELO
40 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 September 2018
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Lepchenko V.
6-4 7-6
Sabalenka A.
Lepchenko V.
6772
Sabalenka A.
4650

Varvara Lepchenko defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 7-6 in the Quebec City round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Varvara Lepchenko claimed a first win over Aryna Sabalenka in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-03-05Indian WellsR128hardAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Lepchenko V.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Lepchenko V.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Lepchenko V.Sabalenka A.
Serve
96
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.8
4.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
48
98
Break points saved·Dominant
64
98
Break points won·Dominant
65
100
Deciding sets·Clear edge
74
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
39
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
59
90

Lepchenko V.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 101 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast