Daria Kasatkina vs Venus Williams — Indian Wells Semi-final

Indian Wells · WTA · Semi-final
Daria Kasatkina
AUS20
Daria Kasatkina
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 March 2018
hard
Venus Williams
USA8
Venus Williams
1654ELO
1617Hard ELO
46 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
Kasatkina D.
4-6 6-4 7-5
Williams V.
Kasatkina D.
4672
Williams V.
6451

Daria Kasatkina defeated Venus Williams 4-6 6-4 7-5 in the Indian Wells semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Venus Williams came in leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Daria Kasatkina narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-03-18MiamiR32hardVenus Williams6-3 6-1
2016-06-27WimbledonR32grassVenus Williams7-5 4-6 10-8
2016-01-04AucklandR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-7(4) 6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Williams V.

Williams V.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Williams V.
0
Serve
—
95
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Kasatkina D.Williams V.
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
42%
Service points won·Even
54%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
42%
Break points saved·Even
54%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.6
Double faults / match·Even
4.7
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 108). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kasatkina D.Williams V.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
54
Break points saved·Even
80
83
Break points won·Clear edge
100
83
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
30
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Kasatkina D.Williams V.
Freshness·Slight edge
90
100

Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Williams V.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 10%

Draw

Final
Osaka N.
Kasatkina D.[20]
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Kasatkina D.[20]
Williams V.[8]
4-66-47-5
Osaka N.
Halep S.[1]
6-36-0
Quarter-finals
Kasatkina D.[20]
Kerber A.[10]
6-06-2
Williams V.[8]
Suarez Navarro C.[27]
6-36-2
Halep S.[1]
Martic P.
6-46-756-3
Osaka N.
Pliskova K.[5]
6-26-3
R16
Kasatkina D.[20]
Wozniacki C.[2]
6-47-5
Kerber A.[10]
Garcia C.[7]
6-16-1
Suarez Navarro C.[27]
Collins D.
6-26-4
Williams V.[8]
Sevastova A.[21]
7-666-4
Pliskova K.[5]
Anisimova A.
6-17-62
Osaka N.
Sakkari M.
6-15-76-1
Martic P.
Vondrousova M.
6-37-64
Halep S.[1]
Wang Q.
7-56-1
R32
Wozniacki C.[2]
Sasnovich A.
6-42-66-3
Kasatkina D.[20]
Stephens S.[13]
6-46-3
Garcia C.[7]
Saville D.[26]
7-56-4
Suarez Navarro C.[27]
Svitolina E.[4]
7-56-3
Collins D.
Zhuk S.
6-46-4
Williams V.[8]
Williams S.
6-36-4
Pliskova K.[5]
Zhang S.[32]
7-55-76-3
Anisimova A.
Kvitova P.[9]
6-26-4
Sakkari M.
Vandeweghe C.[17]
6-26-4
Osaka N.
Vickery S.
6-36-3
Martic P.
Ostapenko J.[6]
6-36-3
Vondrousova M.
Sabalenka A.
6-26-2
Wang Q.
Mladenovic K.[14]
6-16-2
Halep S.[1]
Dolehide C.
1-67-636-2
Kerber A.[10]
Vesnina E.[24]
7-56-2
Sevastova A.[21]
Goerges J.[12]
6-36-3
R64
Wozniacki C.[2]
Arruabarrena L.
6-46-1
Sasnovich A.
Kontaveit A.[28]
6-26-4
Kerber A.[10]
Makarova K.
3-66-46-2
Vesnina E.[24]
Bellis C.
2-66-16-1
Zhuk S.
Rybarikova M.[18]
6-32-67-5
Collins D.
Keys M.[15]
6-37-61
Williams S.
Bertens K.[29]
7-657-5
Pliskova K.[5]
Begu I.
7-646-1
Zhang S.[32]
Kenin S.
6-26-3
Kvitova P.[9]
Putintseva Y.
6-747-636-4
Stephens S.[13]
Azarenka V.
6-17-5
Kasatkina D.[20]
Siniakova K.
6-25-2
Saville D.[26]
Wickmayer Y.
7-636-2
Suarez Navarro C.[27]
Hsieh S.
6-42-66-3
Sakkari M.
Barty A.[16]
6-46-2
Vandeweghe C.[17]
Kanepi K.
6-07-66
Osaka N.
Radwanska A.[31]
6-36-2
Vickery S.
Muguruza G.[3]
2-67-56-1
Ostapenko J.[6]
Bencic B.
6-43-66-1
Vondrousova M.
Konta J.[11]
7-656-4
Mladenovic K.[14]
Stosur S.
7-57-5
Wang Q.
Mertens E.[22]
4-66-36-3
Dolehide C.
Cibulkova D.[30]
5-76-36-4
Halep S.[1]
Pliskova K.
6-46-4
Williams V.[8]
Cirstea S.
6-36-4
Goerges J.[12]
Vikhlyantseva N.
6-46-1
Martic P.
Strycova B.[25]
7-56-4
Garcia C.[7]
Brady J.
6-46-4
Svitolina E.[4]
Barthel M.
6-46-3
Sevastova A.[21]
Puig M.
6-22-66-1
Anisimova A.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[23]
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.
Kuznetsova S.[19]
6-46-3
R128
Vikhlyantseva N.
Zvonareva V.
6-36-2
Bellis C.
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-06-3
Wickmayer Y.
Day K.
6-36-2
Brady J.
Buzarnescu M.
3-66-46-2
Barthel M.
Cepede Royg V.
6-26-1
Zhuk S.
Cornet A.
7-56-4
Collins D.
Townsend T.
2-66-46-3
Puig M.
Haddad Maia B.
6-37-63
Williams S.
Diyas Z.
7-56-3
Cirstea S.
Niculescu M.
6-26-3
Begu I.
Krunic A.
3-66-46-1
Kenin S.
Liu C.
6-26-0
Anisimova A.
Parmentier P.
6-26-2
Kanepi K.
Nara K.
1-66-46-4
Osaka N.
Sharapova M.
6-46-4
Bencic B.
Babos T.
1-66-17-64
Martic P.
Maria T.
6-36-1
Stosur S.
Davis L.
3-66-36-3
Dolehide C.
Rogers S.
3-67-666-3
Pliskova K.
Duan Y.
6-47-65
Hsieh S.
Witthoeft C.
5-4
Vickery S.
Bouchard E.
6-36-4
Vondrousova M.
Brengle M.
6-26-2
Sakkari M.
Vekic D.
6-46-2
Sasnovich A.
Linette M.
5-77-627-64
Siniakova K.
Mchale C.
3-66-27-66
Azarenka V.
Watson H.
6-46-2
Putintseva Y.
Van Uytvanck A.
6-02-66-2
Sabalenka A.
Lepchenko V.
7-56-1
Wang Q.
Bacsinszky T.
6-04-66-2
Arruabarrena L.
Tsurenko L.
3-66-36-4
Makarova K.
Flipkens K.
6-26-4