Kristina Mladenovic vs Daria KasatkinaSt. Petersburg Semi-final

St. Petersburg · WTA · Semi-final
#841WTA
1422ELO
1408Hard ELO
33 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 January 2018
hard
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Mladenovic K.
3-6 6-3 6-2
Kasatkina D.
Mladenovic K.
3662
Kasatkina D.
6321

Kristina Mladenovic defeated Daria Kasatkina 3-6 6-3 6-2 in the St. Petersburg semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #63, defending last year's round of 16. Kristina Mladenovic extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2015-08-31US OpenR32hardKristina Mladenovic6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Mladenovic K.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Mladenovic K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mladenovic K.Kasatkina D.
Serve
0
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
39%
41%
Service points won·Even
53%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.6
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
27
78
Break points saved·Dominant
26
80
Break points won·Dominant
69
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
48
93
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
65
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast