Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Naomi OsakaHong Kong Quarter-final

Hong Kong · WTA · Quarter-final
#128WTA
1775ELO
1742Hard ELO
35 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 October 2017
hard
#14WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-3 6-3
Osaka N.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
662
Osaka N.
330

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova defeated Naomi Osaka 6-3 6-3 in the Hong Kong quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #14, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR32grassAnastasia Pavlyuchenkova3-6 6-4 6-4
2021-02-08Australian OpenR128hardNaomi Osaka6-1 6-2
2019-09-16OsakaFhardNaomi Osaka6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Pavlyuchenkova A.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Osaka N.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Pavlyuchenkova A.

Serve advantage — Osaka N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pavlyuchenkova A.Osaka N.
Serve
70
Return
60

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.0
6.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 196). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
85
91
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
96
Break points won·Slight edge
91
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
86
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
82

Osaka N.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast