Adrian Mannarino vs Marin CilicTokyo Semi-final

Tokyo · ATP · Semi-final
#49ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2017
hard
#88ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
Mannarino A.
6-7 6-4 6-0
Cilic M.
Mannarino A.
65662
Cilic M.
77401

Adrian Mannarino defeated Marin Cilic 6-7 6-4 6-0 in the Tokyo semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marin Cilic came in leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's semi-final. Adrian Mannarino claimed a first win over Marin Cilic in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-05Hong KongR32hardMarin Cilic6-3 6-2
2019-07-01WimbledonR128grassMarin Cilic7-6(6) 7-6(4) 6-3
2015-06-15Queen's ClubR32grassMarin Cilic7-6(3) 3-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Mannarino A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Cilic M.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Serve advantage — Cilic M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mannarino A.Cilic M.
37
Serve
57
32
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.5
10.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
65
76
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
66
41
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
98

Mannarino A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Cilic M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 65%