
Adrian Mannarino defeated Marin Cilic 6-7 6-4 6-0 in the Tokyo semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marin Cilic came in leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's semi-final. Adrian Mannarino claimed a first win over Marin Cilic in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Hong Kong | R32 | hard | Marin Cilic | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2019-07-01 | Wimbledon | R128 | grass | Marin Cilic | 7-6(6) 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2015-06-15 | Queen's Club | R32 | grass | Marin Cilic | 7-6(3) 3-6 6-2 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Mannarino A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Cilic M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About