Matteo Berrettini vs Alexander BublikIstanbul CH Semi-final

Istanbul CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#43ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 September 2017
hard
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Berrettini M.
7-5 6-3
Bublik A.
Berrettini M.
762
Bublik A.
530

Matteo Berrettini defeated Alexander Bublik 7-5 6-3 in the Istanbul CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11. Matteo Berrettini extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersR64hardMatteo Berrettini6-4 6-4
2021-01-05AntalyaQFgrassAlexander Bublik7-6(6) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Berrettini M.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Berrettini M.Bublik A.
57
Serve
65
10
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
46%
Service points won·Even
69%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
64%
Aces / match·Even
10.6
11.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
81
88
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
53
67
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
99
Tiebreaks·Even
98
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
83
78

Berrettini M.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Bublik A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast