Pablo Carreno Busta vs Gilles Muller — Estoril Final

Estoril · ATP · Final
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP1
Pablo Carreno Busta
#65ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 May 2017
clay
LUX3
Gilles Muller
43 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
Carreno Busta P.
6-2 7-6
Muller G.
Carreno Busta P.
6772
Muller G.
2650

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Gilles Muller 6-2 7-6 in the Estoril final on clay. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's final. Pablo Carreno Busta extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

2–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-01-15Australian OpenR32hardPablo Carreno Busta7-6(4) 4-6 7-5 7-5
2015-04-27EstorilQFclayPablo Carreno Busta6-2 6-4
2015-01-19Australian OpenR128hardGilles Muller6-4 7-6(5) 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Muller G.

Muller G.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Carreno Busta P.Muller G.
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
32%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.6
15.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carreno Busta P.Muller G.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
57
Break points saved·Even
97
97
Break points won·Dominant
61
4
Deciding sets·Even
80
76
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Carreno Busta P.Muller G.
Freshness·
94
—

Carreno Busta P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Carreno Busta P.[1]
Muller G.[3]
6-27-65
Semi-finals
Muller G.[3]
Anderson K.
7-56-4
Carreno Busta P.[1]
Ferrer D.[4]
6-36-3
Quarter-finals
Anderson K.
Gasquet R.[2]
6-23-67-64
Ferrer D.[4]
Harrison R.
6-46-0
Carreno Busta P.[1]
Almagro N.
6-26-4
Muller G.[3]
Daniel T.
5-76-26-3
R16
Anderson K.
Domingues J.
5-76-37-5
Gasquet R.[2]
Berlocq C.
6-16-4
Muller G.[3]
Sousa P.
6-36-2
Daniel T.
Fratangelo B.
6-46-4
Ferrer D.[4]
Ferreira Silva F.
6-36-4
Carreno Busta P.[1]
Robredo T.
7-657-5
Harrison R.
del Potro J.[5]
W/O
Almagro N.
Elias G.
6-16-2
R32
Berlocq C.
Ymer E.
7-56-4
Anderson K.
Caruso S.
6-26-3
Daniel T.
Olivo R.
7-624-67-5
Fratangelo B.
Sousa J.[6]
6-36-4
del Potro J.[5]
Sugita Y.
6-16-3
Harrison R.
Garcia Lopez G.
6-32-66-2
Elias G.
Jaziri M.
6-43-66-3
Robredo T.
Donskoy E.
6-36-2
Sousa P.
Mathieu P.
3-66-40-0
Ferreira Silva F.
Istomin D.
6-26-2
Almagro N.
Paire B.[8]
6-36-2
Domingues J.
Edmund K.[7]
6-43-67-62